Manifold Creator
Biased
@biased
Markets by Biased
Russian roulette: which chamber contains the bullet?
$11K31 tradersResolved
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When will OpenAI release o1?
$5K53 tradersResolved
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How biased is this coin?
$3K45 tradersopen
43%
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November 2024?
$3K51 tradersResolved
99%
Will Hamas leader Sinwar leave Gaza in 2024?
$2K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will Rust be the most admired language in the 2025 StackOverflow developer survey?
$1K16 tradersclosed
99%
Let’s cooperate
$9011 tradersResolved
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Will Israel’s proposed hostage/Sinwar deal be accepted?
$8984 tradersResolved
1%
Which Oasis Live '25 tour shows will Noel and Liam both appear at?
$8874 tradersResolved
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Will Hizbollah’s new leader Naim Qassem survive 2024?
$72517 tradersResolved
97%
If Trump wins the 2024 U.S. election, will voters “not have to do it anymore”?
$69617 tradersopen
5%
Resolution roulette
$48012 tradersopen
57%
Will IDF control the Philadelphi Corridor until at least the end of 2025?
$2516 tradersclosed
89%
Will Ryan Routh be sentenced to death for attempting to assassinate Donald Trump?
$1703 tradersopen
12%
Will a fourth season of How to with John Wilson be released before the end of 2025?
$1353 tradersclosed
17%
What form factor will the device from OpenAI + LoveFrom take?
$1316 tradersclosed
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What types of Manifold markets should users prefer to bet on?
$402 tradersResolved
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Low status stock
$172 tradersopen
48%
High status stock
$51 tradersopen
52%
[poll] Who won the Sept. 10th U.S. presidential debate?
$051 tradersResolved
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Should I create a zipfian distribution bot?
$010 tradersopen
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Should I create a zipfian distribution bot?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
What types of Manifold markets should users prefer to bet on?
$08 tradersopen
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What are your favorite numbers to use as random seeds? [add your own choices]
$00 tradersResolved
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