Manifold Creator
becauseyoudo
@becauseyoudo
Markets by becauseyoudo
Will any state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a US presidential candidate [Trump] in 2024?
$53K181 tradersResolved
2%
Will Ann Selzer's final Iowa 2024 presidential election poll be accurate?
$41K254 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
$19K95 tradersopen
69%
Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
$16K43 tradersopen
1%
Which 2024 US presidential candidate will live longer?
$11K110 tradersopen
—
Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2025?
$5K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be "bedlam" in the US if Trump loses the election?
$3K24 tradersResolved
99%
Which legal arguments will save Trump from disqualification from the ballot?
$3K50 tradersResolved
—
Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?
$2K26 tradersopen
5%
Will President Trump suspend Habeas Corpus?
$2K17 tradersopen
30%
Will there be an AI bubble in 2023?
$2K52 tradersResolved
38%
Will Donald Trump do anything remotely surprising before 2025?
$1K34 tradersResolved
9%
Will Ann Selzer's final Iowa 2024 presidential election poll be accurate?
$50728 tradersResolved
6%
Will Trump eliminate any social programs in his second term?
$3786 tradersopen
31%
Will Gun/firearm access be the dominant "public health" topic during the Republican Presidential Primary debates?
$3075 tradersResolved
15%
Will the US Consumer Sentiment Index rise above 70% in 2023?
$1001 tradersResolved
10%
Will the US Consumer Sentiment Index drop below 50% in 2023?
$1001 tradersResolved
10%
Which is more interesting Curiosity or Conflict?
$00 tradersResolved
—
Which is more interesting Curiosity or Conflict?
$00 tradersResolved
—