Manifold Creator
barbarous
@barbarous
Markets by barbarous
Trump overstays his 2 terms
$8K46 tradersopen
5%
Crypto Reserve Allocations (%) (independent items)
$3K9 tradersopen
—
China invades Taiwan before July
$3K27 tradersResolved
1%
Trump attempts to overstay his 2 terms
$3K32 tradersopen
25%
Musk's role at DOGE ruled unconstitutional
$1K26 tradersopen
5%
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) be included in the S&P 500 by 2026?
$1K14 tradersResolved
3%
Will any country create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2025?
$1K17 tradersResolved
96%
Joe Biden pardons 100+ people in January 2025
$1K12 tradersResolved
99%
Economic impact of AI advances - through what industry will AI have the biggest economic impact in 2024?
$95021 tradersResolved
—
Fluoride in water decreases IQ according to 2050 consensus of toxicologists
$85719 tradersopen
15%
Number of individuals pardoned by President Biden in January 2025
$7456 tradersResolved
—
5 states ban Fluoride in water (2025)
$67214 tradersResolved
5%
Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?
$56819 tradersopen
77%
DOGE (Dept. of Govt. Efficiency) Meta Market
$53215 tradersopen
—
NYU financially sanctioned for racial discrimination in 2025?
$42013 tradersResolved
13%
White House mentions Winnie the Pooh in 2025
$37914 tradersResolved
5%
Movie tariffs ruled unconstitutional
$36918 tradersopen
21%
Will Trump & RFK. Jr improve on the U.S. obesity epidemic?
$36012 tradersopen
55%
Will evolutionary psychology make a clinically useful discovery by 2050?
$35812 tradersopen
34%
Derek Chauvin's sentence reduced due to evidence jury wasn't aware of by 2028?
$3526 tradersopen
67%
Will LAX cancel 5 or more flights due to fires by end of January?
$3487 tradersResolved
6%
What will be the S&P 500 10-Year CAGR from 2025 to 2035?
$2543 tradersopen
—
10+ DOGE lawsuits dismissed
$2176 tradersResolved
16%
Jobs & Social Support After AGI [Predictions]
$18710 tradersopen
—
US HHS to recommend against long-term use of antidepressants during RFK Jr.'s term
$13610 tradersopen
62%
Long-term (+52 weeks) randomized controlled trial of anti-depressants shows that they're safe and effective
$817 tradersopen
69%
Antidepressants are safe to use (for 1-5 years)
$675 tradersopen
48%
Starlink direct to cell to bypass state censorship by 2050
$454 tradersopen
68%
Not retaliating rewarded (Trump tariffs)
$202 tradersResolved
59%