Manifold Creator
barak
@barak
Markets by barak
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
$1.1M140 tradersopen
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Who will be the 2nd place finisher in the US House D11 Primary on June 2?
$296K27 tradersResolved
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By how much will the Fed cut interest rates in 2024?
$80K64 tradersResolved
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US House District 11 November 2026 results conditional market
$63K14 tradersopen
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SF Supervisor D8 Election Winner
$20K7 tradersopen
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How many people will attend @barak's Manifest session: Repolarize American Politics
$17K11 tradersResolved
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What will 2024 US inflation be?
$17K82 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 increase in 2024?
$17K33 tradersResolved
99%
Which of these logos will appear on @agency's b5 in or near The White House?
$11K13 tradersResolved
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If @oh reaches $550 on their fundraiser, will they steal the money?
$8K16 tradersResolved
1%
will I be able to resolve this market to the opposite of what I directly told Steve to resolve it to?
$6K8 tradersResolved
82%
Will SF Prop D, June 2026, pass?
$6K16 tradersResolved
4%
Will SF Prop J win? (Recreational Use of JFK Drive in Golden Gate Park, Nov 2022)
$4K15 tradersResolved
94%
Will SF Prop B, June 2026, pass?
$4K13 tradersResolved
92%
Will Matthew Macfadyen win Best Drama Supporting Actor at the 2023 Emmys for his role in Succession?
$3K6 tradersResolved
100%
Will SF Prop C, June 2026, pass?
$3K8 tradersResolved
10%
Taco Tuesday 2/6: How many people will come by 8:30p?
$3K14 tradersResolved
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Which of these logos will appear on @agency's b3 in or near SFO?
$3K7 tradersResolved
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Will Nicholas Braun win Best Drama Supporting Actor at the 2023 Emmys for his role in Succession?
$2K6 tradersResolved
0%
Will SF Prop A, June 2026, pass?
$2K8 tradersResolved
84%
Will J. Smith-Cameron win Best Drama Supporting Actress at the 2023 Emmys for her role in Succession?
$2K5 tradersResolved
0%
Will Alexander Skarsgard win Best Drama Supporting Actor at the 2023 Emmys for his role in Succession?
$2K4 tradersResolved
0%
Will Alan Ruck win Best Drama Supporting Actor at the 2023 Emmys for his role in Succession?
$2K3 tradersResolved
0%
Will SF Prop D win? (Affordable Homes Now, Nov 2022)
$2K12 tradersResolved
3%
Will SF Prop I win? (Vehicles on JFK Drive in Golden Gate Park and the Great Highway, Nov 2022)
$1K10 tradersResolved
5%
At what market cap will Figma exit?
$1K21 tradersResolved
89%
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Drama Actor at the 2023 Primetime Emmy awards for his role in Succession?
$1K6 tradersResolved
2%
Taco Tuesday 1/30: How many people will come by 8:30p?
$1K13 tradersResolved
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Taco Tuesday 1/9: How many people will come and eat 400+ calories by 11p according to Barak?
$1K4 tradersResolved
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Who will Saikat Chakrabarti endorse for Congress in CA11?
$1K3 tradersopen
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Taco Tuesday 1/2: How many people will come?
$1K10 tradersResolved
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Will Kieran Culkin win Best Drama Actor at the 2023 Primetime Emmy awards for his role in Succession?
$1K6 tradersResolved
99%
Will Manifold successfully crowdfund an Apple Vision Pro by Feb 2?
$1K17 tradersResolved
5%
Will Sarah Snook win Best Drama Actress at the 2023 Primetime Emmy awards for her role in Succession?
$1K7 tradersResolved
98%
Will CA Prop 27 win? (Legalize Online Sports Betting, Nov 2022)
$94126 tradersResolved
10%
How many of @MatthewYglesias's 2024 20% sports predictions will come true?
$8946 tradersResolved
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Will CA Prop 31 win? (Flavored Tobacco Ban, Nov 2022)
$79312 tradersResolved
97%
Will CA Prop 1 win? (Reproductive Freedom, Nov 2022)
$7705 tradersResolved
98%
Will Brian Cox win Best Drama Actor at the 2023 Primetime Emmy awards for his role in Succession?
$7137 tradersResolved
2%
Will CA Prop 30 win? (Personal Income Tax Increase, Nov 2022)
$62017 tradersResolved
17%