Manifold Creator

Andrew Smith

@asmith

Markets by Andrew Smith

Master's League: January Edition - Who will finish bottom 10?

$173K24 tradersResolved

Master's League: January Edition - Who will demote?

$98K26 tradersResolved

Who will win Eurovision 2024? [Fixed Payout, Free Response]

$41K59 tradersResolved

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong get an 85 or above on OpenCritic? (a website which is like metacritic)

$40K46 tradersResolved
99%

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

$36K143 tradersopen
25%

Will the upcoming Minecraft movie make over a billion dollars at the worldwide box office?

$31K56 tradersResolved
1%

Which game will win Players' Voice at the Game Awards 2023?

$29K121 tradersResolved

Will the Minecraft movie make over 400 million dollars at the US box office?

$28K60 tradersResolved
99%

Will Dune: Part Two make over 500 million dollars at the worldwide box office?

$23K20 tradersResolved
100%

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?

$23K38 tradersopen
90%

Who Will Win Best Supporting Actor at the 96th Academy Awards? [Fixed Payout, Free Response]

$22K9 tradersResolved

Will Dune: Part Two make over 60 million dollars on opening weekend? (domestic)

$18K14 tradersResolved
100%

What game will win Game of the Year at the 2024 Game Awards?

$18K45 tradersResolved

Will Dune: Part Two make over 600 million dollars at the worldwide box office? (Before Feb 2025)

$17K32 tradersResolved
100%

What games will be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards in 2024?

$16K28 tradersResolved

Will Beetlejuice Beetlejuice get 80% or over on Rotten Tomatoes?

$15K30 tradersResolved
1%

Will cryonics be noticeably more prominent in the public consciousness in August 2025 than it is now?

$14K29 tradersResolved
1%

Will Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2025?

$14K36 tradersResolved
99%

Will Valve release a game with a title containing the number "3" before 2025?

$14K24 tradersResolved
1%

Will The Garfield Movie get a 65% or above on Rotten Tomatoes?

$13K18 tradersResolved
1%

Will the upcoming Minecraft movie get a 7.0 or higher on IMDB?

$13K34 tradersResolved
1%

Will Final Fantasy VII Rebirth win Game of the Year at the 2024 Game Awards?

$13K16 tradersResolved
1%

Will a horse die at the Grand National in 2024?

$13K32 tradersResolved
50%

Will Dune: Part Two make over 170 million domestic? (Before February 2025)

$12K15 tradersResolved
100%

Major news about Chinese human genetic engineering before 2025?

$12K21 tradersResolved
1%

Will Dune: Part Two get a 7.5 or higher on IMDB?

$11K15 tradersResolved
100%

Will the upcoming Minecraft movie get over 65% on Rotten Tomatoes?

$11K55 tradersResolved
1%

New film in the Terminator film franchise officially announced by end of October 2024?

$11K17 tradersResolved
1%

Will the upcoming videogame Suicide Squad: Kill the Justice League get a Metacritic score of 80 or higher?

$11K17 tradersResolved
0%

What games will win in any category at the 2024 Game Awards?

$11K28 tradersResolved

Will the 2024 movie Civil War by Alex Garland make $150 million at the worldwide box office?

$11K13 tradersResolved
1%

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong get a 90 or above on OpenCritic? (a website which is like metacritic)

$10K35 tradersResolved
98%

Will Dune: Part Two make over 650 million dollars at the worldwide box office? (Before Feb 2025)

$10K7 tradersResolved
100%

Who will win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?

$10K35 tradersResolved

Who Will Win Best Supporting Actor at the 96th Academy Awards?

$10K11 tradersResolved

Who will hold the record for Super Mario 64 120 star at the end of 2024?

$9K14 tradersResolved

Will Israel soft land a probe on the moon before the end of 2025? (Including private companies)

$9K24 tradersResolved
2%

Will Alberta leave Canada before November 2029?

$9K31 tradersopen
5%

Will Madame Web get a 5.9 or above on IMDB?

$9K17 tradersResolved
0%

Who will win the World Scrabble Championship in 2025?

$9K20 tradersResolved