Manifold Creator
archvenison
@archvenison
Markets by archvenison
Who will win the 2026 Women's Chess Candidates Tournament (includes Muzychuk)?
$44K37 tradersResolved
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Who will win the Super Chess Classic Romania (GCT 2nd event)?
$43K36 tradersResolved
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World Blitz Chess Championship 2025 Winner?
$32K59 tradersResolved
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Who will be in sole first place after any round of the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
$18K30 tradersResolved
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World Rapid Chess Championship 2025 Winner?
$16K36 tradersResolved
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Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?
$16K53 tradersopen
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2026 American Cup chess tournament winner (Open division)?
$16K27 tradersResolved
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Will the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament go to tiebreaks?
$14K37 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the 2026 UzChess Cup (Masters division)?
$13K10 tradersopen
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2026 American Cup chess tournament winner (Women's division)?
$12K12 tradersResolved
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Will Labour win at least 350 seats in the next UK general election?
$10K34 tradersResolved
98%
Will Labour win at least 300 seats in the next UK general election?
$7K21 tradersResolved
98%
Which party will win the 2026 South Carolina Senate race?
$6K14 tradersopen
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Who will win the Masters section of the 2026 Tata Steel Chess Tournament?
$6K29 tradersResolved
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How many weeks will the Strait of Hormuz remain closed?
$5K38 tradersopen
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Virginia redistricting before midterms?
$5K25 tradersopen
9%
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater before 2030?
$5K31 tradersResolved
92%
Will Labour win at least 400 seats in the next UK general election?
$4K32 tradersResolved
96%
2026 Winter Olympics Women's Curling Gold Medal Winners?
$4K15 tradersResolved
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2026 Winter Olympics Women's Figure Skating Medal Winners?
$4K16 tradersResolved
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2026 Winter Olympics Men's Curling Gold Medal Winners?
$4K19 tradersResolved
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Who will win Taskmaster Series 21?
$3K7 tradersopen
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Who will win the 2026 Classic Tetris World Championship (CTWC)?
$3K5 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour?
$3K15 tradersopen
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Silver price EOY 2025
$3K17 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Poland (GCT 1st event)?
$3K11 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2026 Prague Masters chess tournament?
$3K17 tradersResolved
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Will the New Democracy party win a majority of seats in the June 2023 Greek Legislative election?
$2K11 tradersResolved
99%
Who will win the special election in Texas's 18th congressional district?
$2K8 tradersResolved
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Florida Redistricting Before 2026 Midterms?
$2K14 tradersopen
87%
Which chess matches will Hans Niemann win?
$2K13 tradersResolved
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Democrats retain majority in Virginia House of Delegates?
$1K15 tradersResolved
99%
Gold/silver ratio below 75 by EOY 2025?
$10003 tradersResolved
99%
Who will become the Prime Minister of Spain after the next general?
$72014 tradersResolved
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Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
$65016 tradersopen
30%
Who will win the 2026 Women's Chess World Championship?
$50610 tradersopen
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Will the president of Ecuador, Guillermo Lasso, be removed from office via impeachment?
$4465 tradersResolved
9%
Who will win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Croatia (GCT 3rd event)?
$43010 tradersopen
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Which country will win the 2026 Chess Olympiad (Women's event)?
$4202 tradersopen
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In what year will Bougainville gain independence?
$4088 tradersopen
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