Manifold Creator
Manson
@apol
Markets by Manson
Government shutdown end date?
$6K40 tradersResolved
—
Will fatal ICE shooting in the US occur again before March 2026?
$6K50 tradersResolved
2%
Israel-Hamas final ceasefire agreement by October 15, 2025?
$4K35 tradersResolved
99%
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
$3K43 tradersResolved
2%
ICE federal funding paused before February 1?
$3K23 tradersResolved
99%
Will Donald Trump be impeached before March?
$3K20 tradersResolved
1%
Will Zelenskyy be alive by the end of March?
$2K19 tradersResolved
100%
Will Kim Jong Un be impeached before March 2026?
$2K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will the US government shutdown end before Wednesday?
$2K15 tradersResolved
99%
Will Iran get a new Supreme Leader before the end of April?
$93317 tradersResolved
3%
Will Hezbollah of Lebanon be fully disarmed before June, 2026?
$82620 tradersResolved
2%
Will bitcoin rise to 85k before the Strait of Hormuz is freely open?
$55815 tradersopen
12%
Will Iran fully enrich uranium stockpiles to a level of 90% before July?
$2986 tradersopen
10%
Brian Quintenz confirmed as CFTC Chairman by December 31, 2025?
$2913 tradersResolved
6%
Will Iran directly fire missiles to any gulf countries before June?
$2319 tradersResolved
82%
How will the next World War begin?
$1318 tradersopen
—
Will any more blockade be set up in international waters before June, 2026?
$547 tradersResolved
39%
Ragasa causes $3B HKD loss for Hong Kong authorities?
$403 tradersResolved
50%