Manifold Creator
ape
@ae
Markets by ape
Hamas accepts Trump's proposed peace deal?
$223K544 tradersResolved
33%
US commercial flights see ≥10% cancellations week of November 10?
$52K157 tradersResolved
1%
Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO?
$23K19 tradersopen
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Number of Trump's 20 Gaza peace deal points agreed to by both Israel and Hamas?
$9K19 tradersResolved
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Apple ships AR glasses in 2025?
$6K14 tradersResolved
1%
Death toll of Iranian regime killings Jan. 8 and 9, 2026?
$6K11 tradersResolved
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Jerome Powell convicted on charges from the DOJ?
$5K18 tradersResolved
4%
Xi Jinping still CCP General Secretary at end of 2025?
$4K9 tradersResolved
98%
When will Starship reach orbit?
$2K12 tradersopen
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What is the longest sit I will do on my meditation retreat?
$2K10 tradersResolved
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Mississippi synagogue fire prop bets
$1K9 tradersResolved
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Israel enters into a new war in 2026?
$85315 tradersopen
42%
Apple ships AR glasses in 2026?
$5087 tradersopen
17%
Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029?
$47117 tradersopen
15%
First human-AI marriages recognized when?
$3069 tradersopen
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Trump administration pursues another regime change after removing Venezuela's Maduro?
$2419 tradersopen
82%
When will US Supreme Court hear a case on AI legal personhood?
$2336 tradersopen
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Will I complete a track before end of August 2025?
$1723 tradersResolved
16%
Apple ships AR glasses in 2027?
$955 tradersopen
57%
Will I complete a track before end of September 2025?
$543 tradersResolved
46%
Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027?
$501 tradersopen
54%
[Short fuse] My 3pm scheduled lunch delivery arrives when?
$273 tradersResolved
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Forward Party runs a US presidential candidate in 2028?
$221 tradersopen
50%
Now that (up to $25k/yr of) tips are federal tax free in the US, are you tipping less?
$07 tradersResolved
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Which do you think a greater % of Americans know?
$027 tradersResolved
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