Manifold Creator
Adele Lopez
@adele
Markets by Adele Lopez
Will the *de facto* president at the end of inauguration day be the person who the AP called the election for?
$14K41 tradersResolved
99%
Will Coke Zero use sucralose by the end of 2024?
$6K13 tradersResolved
2%
How many US Supreme Court justices will there be in 2025?
$2K31 tradersResolved
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Will Trump ban or significantly limit Prozac?
$2K24 tradersopen
13%
Will there be an LLM which can do fluent conlang translations by EOY 2024?
$94918 tradersclosed
72%
Will Manifold ever have a Leagues division called "Roentgenium"?
$68612 tradersResolved
4%
Which organization will most likely build the AI that destroys humanity? (See special resolution method)
$2917 tradersopen
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Will the MacBook Pro I ordered on Feb 1st arrive by July 1st?
$1576 tradersResolved
93%