Manifold Creator
Andy
@ac
Markets by Andy
Will U.S. weapons strike targets inside Iran by January 31, 2026?
$187K516 tradersResolved
2%
Will Microsoft announce layoffs of at least 5,000 employees by January 31, 2026?
$1K13 tradersResolved
2%
Will the next No Kings protest reach at least 12 million participants?
$1K13 tradersResolved
18%
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act by April 30, 2026?
$83225 tradersResolved
5%
How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards?
$82312 tradersResolved
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Will a single infectious disease cause 200,000+ U.S. hospitalizations by April 15, 2026?
$74113 tradersResolved
17%
Will I automate Vanguard rebalancing with an AI agent by 2026?
$6056 tradersopen
34%
Will major media publish stronger evidence of Trump’s cognitive decline?
$51413 tradersopen
69%
What will Trump's favorability be on April 30, 2026?
$50317 tradersResolved
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Will sabotage cause 250k+ power outage in a U.S. megacity by 2026?
$49910 tradersopen
12%
Which AI company will have the highest-ranked Super Bowl LX ad on USA TODAY Ad Meter?
$37811 tradersResolved
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Will SpaceX combine with Tesla in 2026?
$34714 tradersopen
18%
Will all 5 major English dictionaries pick an AI-related Word of the Year for 2026?
$33512 tradersopen
11%
Will Republican leaders say Trump lacks authority in 2026?
$16310 tradersopen
43%
Will at least one Ivy-Plus college eliminate the personal statement for the 2026–2027 application cycle?
$1457 tradersopen
18%
Will Ukrainians be dancing in celebration before the end of 2026?
$1015 tradersopen
37%