Manifold Creator
Zardoru
@Zardoru
Markets by Zardoru
Will anyone lose at least M$1,000,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?
$128K64 tradersResolved
100%
Will anyone lose at least M$500,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?
$30K28 tradersResolved
100%
Russia collapses before 2030
$26K119 tradersopen
13%
Will anyone lose at least M$1,000,000 on a single market by the end of 2023? (v2)
$18K67 tradersResolved
3%
Will Élisabeth Borne remains Prime Minister of France until next presidential election
$13K18 tradersResolved
0%
Will anyone lose at least M$2,000,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?
$8K36 tradersResolved
98%
Will there be a public transportation strike affecting 2024 Paris Olympics
$6K32 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Sun engulf the Earth before 12 billion years from now.
$6K31 tradersopen
13%
Manifold create a Monarch status, as a Mana-sink before october 2023
$5K27 tradersResolved
2%
Will anyone lose at least M$500,000 on a single market by the end of 2023? (v2)
$5K43 tradersResolved
2%
Will AI take over the world and keep humans as pets before the year 2100
$5K39 tradersopen
23%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027
$4K33 tradersopen
86%
Manifold poet GPT-P still active in May
$4K14 tradersResolved
2%
Will planned electricity shutdowns occur in France this winter ?
$3K25 tradersResolved
3%
Will I receive more than Ṁ500 before market close via manalink from @IsaacKing
$3K6 tradersResolved
5%
Will anyone lose at least M$2,000,000 on a single market by the end of 2023? (v2)
$2K30 tradersResolved
1%
Will Deathlist 2024 break their record ?
$2K6 tradersResolved
1%
Will a non specialized AI assistant master French grammar rule of "L'accord du participe passé" at the end of 2025 ?
$2K31 tradersResolved
60%
In 2050, we still won't be able to exactly duplicate a strawberry.
$1K28 tradersopen
54%
(No) Elephant in the AI room
$1K20 tradersResolved
62%
Will AI wipe out patriarchy before the year 2030?
$1K12 tradersopen
4%
Will @Zardoru be trustworthy-ish by end of 2023?
$1K8 tradersResolved
5%
Will Brittany gain independence from France before 2030
$91815 tradersopen
6%
When will Betelgeuse go supernova ?
$84810 tradersopen
78%
Will Bitcoin (BTC) be below CHF1000 or gone Jan 14th 2033 ?
$73811 tradersopen
18%
"Change My Mind" markets are just a waste of time and mana
$73422 tradersResolved
62%
Will Daniel Negreanu 2024 result in Poker Tournaments be positive ?
$7079 tradersResolved
14%
Big fail during 2024 Paris Summer Olympic
$62815 tradersResolved
7%
Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028
$47715 tradersopen
81%
In which year will France legalize recreational usage of cannabis ?
$33211 tradersopen
27%
Will number 852655 have been found to be in Recamán’s sequence (A005132) before the year 2030 ?
$1066 tradersopen
31%