Manifold Creator

Yves

@Yves

Markets by Yves

Will Tesla deliver its first Cybertruck in Q3/23?

$118K355 tradersResolved
2%

Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla in 2025?

$80K116 tradersResolved
1%

Will Michelle Obama replace Joe Biden as the Democratic Nominee for the 2024 Presidential Election?

$69K84 tradersResolved
1%

Will Tesla produce more than 1500 Cybertrucks in 2023?

$44K245 tradersResolved
7%

Will Tesla reveal on 8/8 or before that Travis Kalanick joined / will join the company?

$30K16 tradersResolved
1%

Will Tesla deliver its first Cybertruck in Q4/23?

$27K78 tradersResolved
98%

Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla by December 31, 2025

$24K57 tradersResolved
1%

Will Mitt Romney be the democratic parties nominee for the 2024 presidential election?

$19K24 tradersResolved
3%

Will Tesla deliver its first Cybertruck before 11/30/2023

$18K66 tradersResolved
6%

Who will acquire 23andMe?

$16K57 tradersResolved

NVIDIA (NVDA) stock price above $140 by February 10, 2025

$14K45 tradersResolved
6%

Are @MarsMartian and @MemeMaker the same person?

$11K13 tradersResolved
96%

Will Google widely release Gemini in November 2023?

$11K28 tradersResolved
1%

Will a 3rd starship fly in 2023

$11K30 tradersResolved
1%

Will Elon Musk cease to be CEO of Tesla in 2024?

$11K40 tradersResolved
1%

Will Google widely release Gemini in December 2023?

$9K29 tradersResolved
69%

Will x.ai launch a product in 2023?

$9K49 tradersResolved
98%

Who will be the next CEO of Apple?

$8K31 tradersopen

What exactly caused the 737MAX Alaska Airlines rapid depressurisation incident?

$7K37 tradersopen

In what year will Tesla start mass production of its Optimus Bot

$7K38 tradersopen

Will Google widely release Gemini in October 2023?

$7K17 tradersResolved
0%

Will Tesla release FSD Beta v12 before the end of 2023?

$7K50 tradersResolved
6%

Will Google widely release Gemini in January 2024?

$7K24 tradersResolved
9%

Will Tesla, by 2030, be the only OEM to sell more than 1 Million Vehicles per Year?

$6K31 tradersopen
6%

Will Tesla perform a publicised, no-intervention, cross country FSD test drive in 2024?

$4K19 tradersResolved
3%

Identity of next permanent FAA Administrator nominee

$4K4 tradersResolved

What will be the first x.ai product?

$3K36 tradersResolved

In what year will it first become possible to order a Tesla Optimus?

$3K11 tradersopen

When will there be the world‘s first trillionaire?

$3K24 tradersopen

Super Bowl Coin Flip

$3K13 tradersResolved
100%

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

$3K38 tradersopen

Will starship complete one full orbit?

$3K15 tradersResolved
1%

Elon Musk or X Corp. acquires TikTok before April 1st, 2025

$2K17 tradersResolved
1%

Will Tesla perform a publicised, no-intervention, cross country FSD test drive in 2023?

$2K12 tradersResolved
1%

Will Joe Manchin & Mitt Romney run on a joint ticket in the 2024 presidential election?

$2K6 tradersResolved
1%

Will the FAA certify an eVTOL aircraft before 2024?

$1K13 tradersResolved
2%

Will the FAA certify an eVTOL aircraft before 2025?

$1K5 tradersResolved
1%

Who will be the next CEO of Y Combinator?

$1K20 tradersopen

Will starship successfully complete its mission at the next launch?

$88420 tradersResolved
38%

Will the Volocopter Volocity Aircraft enter regular operations for the Paris Olympics in Summer 2024

$8736 tradersResolved
1%