Manifold Creator
Kakonomics
@Yoae
Markets by Kakonomics
Will planet 9 be discovered by 2026?
$20K42 tradersResolved
1%
Will China and the Philippines have a conflict in the South China Sea that results in at least one death before 2025?
$11K47 tradersResolved
3%
Will an artist release a diss track about Elon Musk?
$10K42 tradersResolved
55%
If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?
$10K46 tradersopen
2%
Will Caitlin Clark score 50+ points in any game during her first WNBA season?
$10K26 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Dodgers hold their position at #1 in the NL West until the 2024 season ends?
$9K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will the cause of the Los Angeles fires be due to a terrorist attack?
$7K26 tradersResolved
3%
Will Dolton Illinois 'supermayor' Tiffany Henyard go to prison?
$6K15 tradersResolved
43%
Will planet 9 be discovered by the end of 2024?
$5K20 tradersResolved
1%
Will California voters pass prop 36?
$4K16 tradersResolved
96%
Will we see the first licensed AI doctor of medicine before 2025?
$4K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will George Soros be alive to see the next US president sworn into office?
$3K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will a self-described 'democratic socialist' win the US presidential election in 2028?
$3K26 tradersopen
14%
Will AI begin to replace judges before 2030?
$3K40 tradersopen
—
Will an article be published in 2024 containing the phrase "AI fatigue" ?
$3K25 tradersResolved
94%
Will at least one more murder be linked to the Zizian cult?
$3K21 tradersResolved
11%
Will Jack Krawczyk still be employed by Google on May 1st, 2024?
$3K15 tradersResolved
98%
What city will get the next MLB expansion team?
$3K12 tradersopen
—
What will be true about the cryptocurrency market by 2025? (Add your own answer)
$3K12 tradersResolved
—
Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a white man?
$3K29 tradersopen
84%
What will be true about the Francis Scott Key bridge disaster by 2025? (Add Your Own Answer)
$3K35 tradersopen
—
Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration?
$2K4 tradersopen
56%
Will Elon Musk defend the CCP in a tweet in 2024?
$2K25 tradersResolved
11%
Will a previously unknown civilization be discovered in Antarctica by 2027?
$2K21 tradersopen
3%
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
$2K19 tradersResolved
15%
Will we discover that a previous mass shooting was an inside job carried out by a federal agency?
$2K13 tradersResolved
2%
Well an Icelandic volcano erupt before the end of 2023?
$2K12 tradersResolved
82%
Will a major geoengineering project be approved and implemented before 2025?
$2K13 tradersResolved
5%
Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery?
$2K7 tradersopen
11%
Will a war break out between two or more countries over control of Antarctic land or resources by 2027?
$2K16 tradersopen
5%
Will there be large-scale protests against geoengineering before 2025?
$2K13 tradersResolved
3%
Will any country use a nuclear weapon in 2024?
$1K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will another illegal Chinese funded biological lab be discovered in the US in 2024?
$1K19 tradersResolved
19%
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
$1K17 tradersopen
24%
What will be true about the effect of geoengineering on the planet by 2026? (Add your own answer)
$1K22 tradersResolved
—
Will Alex Soros and Huma Abedin be married before 2026?
$1K3 tradersResolved
81%
Will the US have at least one more mass shooting before 2024?
$1K13 tradersResolved
88%
Will a magnitude 7.5 + temblor occur anywhere by 2025?
$92010 tradersResolved
1%
Will Los Angeles have 3,000 homeless deaths in 2023?
$86115 tradersResolved
7%
Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
$8506 tradersopen
29%