Manifold Creator
Professor Wrongo
@WrongoPhD
Markets by Professor Wrongo
Will Donald Trump express unambiguous support for removing Kevin McCarthy as speaker before Oct 31?
$10K29 tradersResolved
1%
Will the victory margin for Nakamura vs. Carlson be less than 5 points in the 2023 Speed chess championship?
$10K15 tradersResolved
100%
Will Donald Trump express ambiguous support for removing Kevin McCarthy as speaker before Oct 31?
$7K56 tradersResolved
93%
Will valve announce a new VR device in 2023?
$5K34 tradersResolved
2%
Will Ivanka Trump testify in the Trump organization civil trial?
$5K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will Colbert be forced off air before May, 2026?
$4K52 tradersResolved
1%
What will the victory margin be for So v Magnus in the 2023 speed chess semifinal?
$4K14 tradersResolved
—
Will Nathan Fielder's new show "The Curse" have a metascore of at least 85 on November 24th?
$4K23 tradersResolved
3%
Who will be revealed as the murderer in the finale for The After Party Season 2 in September 6, 2023?
$3K5 tradersResolved
—
Will Waymo or Cruise be involved in a fatal motor vehicle collision this year?
$3K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will Jimmy Fallon announce he will be departing the Tonight Show in the next 12 months?
$2K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will Twitter/X follow through on plans too require all users to pay to use the service?
$2K23 tradersResolved
3%
Will Frasier (2023) be renewed for a second season?
$2K27 tradersResolved
98%
Will the NHTSA for Tesla to change the name of autopilot in 2023?
$2K14 tradersResolved
3%
Who will be revealed as the murderer in the finale for The After Party Season 2 in September 6, 2023?
$2K7 tradersResolved
—
Will Tesla's robotaxi be involved in a motor vehicle collision within 90 days of launch?
$1K35 tradersResolved
78%
Will another Jeopardy contestant have a winning streak of 20 or greater games before the end of 2024?
$1K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will the United Auto Workers union strike after their contract expires on September 14, 2023?
$59222 tradersResolved
71%
Will Ashton Kutcher or Mila Kunis try a second apology for supporting convicted rapist dating masterson by October 1?
$4718 tradersResolved
62%
Will I switch back to Google as default search engine within 90 days?
$31515 tradersResolved
72%
Will I see any mention of Destiny outside of Manifold by the end of 2024?
$26113 tradersResolved
85%