Manifold Creator

Paraconsistent Prior

@Wott

Markets by Paraconsistent Prior

Fooming Shoggoths' next album release date?

$27K15 tradersResolved

will manifold crack down on weekly poll rewards?

$11K33 tradersResolved
2%

Will I not regret eating 30-40 olives?

$11K116 tradersResolved
84%

Who authored the ACX Joan of Arc review?

$8K32 tradersResolved

will manifold crack down on weekly poll rewards by EOY 2025?

$6K17 tradersResolved
1%

Will the Daily Coinflip on Tuesday 5th correspond to the result of the 2024 USA election? (Head-Harris or Tails-Trump)

$6K9 tradersResolved
95%

Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if @tftftftftftftftftftftftf went 2 weeks without finding out who won the election?

$6K50 tradersResolved
65%

Which Japanese honkaku authors will be picked up by Pushkin Vertigo before the end of 2025?

$5K4 tradersResolved

Will gloves help me become less reluctant to do dishes?

$4K46 tradersResolved
80%

new Fooming Shoggoths song by April 1st 2026?

$4K12 tradersResolved
9%

Will I stay in bed because of covid?

$3K7 tradersResolved
5%

I remember this market and open this page between May 1-3, 2026?

$2K12 tradersResolved
79%

Who will win the auction for my FOLDED account?

$2K15 tradersResolved

next book in the Yakata series to be published by Pushkin?

$1K1 tradersResolved

When will my laptop degrade?

$1K7 tradersopen

When will I start eating bugs?

$77714 tradersopen

will I vibe with a community found through this market within a year?

$73915 tradersResolved
25%

Liar Game official anime announcement by EOY 2026?

$7113 tradersResolved
85%

Will the "right to part-time work" be significantly restricted in Germany before February 2027?

$6798 tradersopen
31%

Do I like figs?

$46318 tradersResolved
67%

New Kindle DRM circumventable before EOY 2026?

$4515 tradersResolved
55%

Manifold has another database rollback by EOY 2029?

$3904 tradersopen
36%

When will I next hear All I Want For Christmas irl?

$3801 tradersResolved

Magical Girl Witch Trials EN release date

$3463 tradersopen

October 2026 ACX Meetup in Fatima, Portugal

$2906 tradersopen
26%

Will someone take my new umbrella before EOY 2025?

$28220 tradersResolved
33%

Will I still be using openSUSE Tumbleweed six months from now?

$2816 tradersResolved
62%

Will trying to update to KDE Neon 24.04.1 LTS result in me doing a clean install?

$2137 tradersResolved
25%

will my application to the 2026 LWCW be accepted? [short fuse]

$2036 tradersResolved
71%

Will I create another market in 2024?

$1817 tradersResolved
58%

EDEN.schemata(); release date

$1301 tradersopen

was there a UI change?

$1201 tradersResolved
50%

Can you create a market, state you won't trade in it, and then trade in an identical market?

$804 tradersopen
52%

game outcome? (diplomacy gunboat)

$803 tradersResolved

Did* Sam Kriss write Ollantay? (READ DESCRIPTION)

$603 tradersResolved
43%

number of frozen pizzas in my freezer on New Year 25/26

$501 tradersResolved

Which music player software will I switch to? (Linux) [submit answers]

$301 tradersResolved

When you are rude, it's most often because...

$018 tradersopen

season preference

$018 tradersopen

Brain Stomper

$09 tradersopen