Manifold Creator
Wired
@Wired
Markets by Wired
Will Artemis II launch before May?
$4K46 tradersResolved
99%
Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage?
$2K9 tradersopen
81%
Will Highguard be delayed
$1K17 tradersResolved
27%
Will Apple release a second VR/AR headset before 2028
$5296 tradersResolved
95%
Will Nvidia still retain over 50% market share of PC gamer GPU usage by 2030
$47217 tradersopen
62%
Will Valve's Deadlock release in 2026
$3049 tradersopen
69%
Will the FDA limit microplastic amounts for food by 2028
$29010 tradersopen
14%
When will NASA's Skyfall mission launch
$51 tradersopen
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