Manifold Creator
Wesley
@Wesley_
Markets by Wesley
Will US military assets attempt to physically extract American hostages from Gaza?
$11K21 tradersResolved
0%
Conditional on losing the 2024 election, will Donald Trump serve time?
$7K67 tradersResolved
65%
Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard by 01/01/2030?
$1K7 tradersopen
5%
Which frequency standard will the SI second be defined from, per BIPM, on 01/01/2034?
$3234 tradersopen
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Will there be an attack on civilians in a NATO country committed primarily with a laser weapon with >19 casualties?
$25311 tradersopen
26%
Will there be an attack on US civilians committed primarily with drones with >9 casualties before 2031?
$285 tradersopen
59%
Will Manifold include info about subsidy value, amount bet, or APY range for each question in the Home feed by 2024?
$132 tradersResolved
41%