Manifold Creator
Vitor
@VitorBosshard
Markets by Vitor
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?
$34K104 tradersopen
3%
Will anyone reach a sub-46 minute Any% Speedrun of Tears of the Kingdom by July 31, 2023?
$13K18 tradersResolved
100%
Number of Deaths in Myanmar Earthquake
$11K21 tradersResolved
—
Number of major incidents involving Boeing planes until end of 2025
$9K21 tradersResolved
—
Will anyone reach a sub-45:30 Any% Speedrun of Tears of the Kingdom by July 31, 2023?
$5K13 tradersResolved
99%
Will there be a terrorist attack specifically targeting LGBT people/events during Pride month (June 2024)
$5K21 tradersResolved
7%
Will anyone reach a sub-45 Any% Speedrun of Tears of the Kingdom by July 31, 2023?
$2K5 tradersResolved
100%
Will anyone reach a sub-44:30 Any% Speedrun of Tears of the Kingdom by July 31, 2023?
$2K22 tradersResolved
10%
Will Worldcoin have > 1000 active orbs by end of 2023?
$1K24 tradersResolved
12%
Will I reach a 2-year Manifold streak?
$1K15 tradersResolved
98%
At least one recent major fire in Los Angeles determined to be arson by April 30, 2025
$57116 tradersResolved
4%
Will Worldcoin reach 10M users by the end of 2024?
$3659 tradersResolved
10%
Was any of the major LA wildfires laid by arson and if yes, by whom?
$2105 tradersResolved
—
Will anyone reach a sub-47 minute Any% Speedrun of Tears of the Kingdom by July 31, 2023?
$1102 tradersResolved
91%
NaDa in ASL (or equivalent) tournament by EOY2027?
$473 tradersopen
57%