Manifold Creator
Valjean
@Valjean
Markets by Valjean
Will Inter Miami finish in the top 8 in their conference, in the MLS 2023 regular season?
$10K11 tradersResolved
0%
Will Inter Miami miss the 2023 MLS playoffs by 3 points or less?
$4K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will Biden say "finish the job" at least 10 times during the 2024 State of the Union?
$3K17 tradersResolved
1%
At the Manifest conference 2023, will at least 5 people each write a haiku about the conference?
$2K8 tradersResolved
98%
Will OpenAI make a major product announcement on April 1st?
$1K8 tradersResolved
2%
Will Canada's December housing starts exceed 230,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$1K1 tradersResolved
100%
Will the anti-woke candidate get 8% or more in the Unitarian Universalist Association 2023 contested election?
$1K5 tradersResolved
98%
Will Canada's February housing starts exceed 250,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$1K5 tradersResolved
96%
Will Canada's September housing starts exceed 250,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$5575 tradersResolved
99%
Of Manifest 2023 attendees with exactly 1 sibling, will at least 65% be the older sibling?
$53820 tradersResolved
69%
Will the 2024 State of the Union mention parking?
$36914 tradersResolved
24%
Will there be at least 8 funny people at the Manifest Conference 2023
$36314 tradersResolved
82%
Will Jasmine Paris finish the 2024 Barkley Marathons?
$3402 tradersResolved
75%
Will the 2024 State of the Union mention housing?
$2927 tradersResolved
92%
Will molecular jackhammers have at least 50% tumour-free efficacy in Phase 2 clinical trials?
$27410 tradersopen
20%
Will Canada's April's housing starts exceed 250,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$20710 tradersResolved
21%
Will Canada's November housing starts exceed 270,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$1703 tradersResolved
9%
Will there be at least 30 funny people at the Manifest Conference 2023
$1657 tradersResolved
70%
Will Canada's January housing starts exceed 250,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$1264 tradersResolved
18%
Will there be at least one tech bro motorbike gang by 2035?
$996 tradersopen
62%
Will Bryan Caplan be satisfied with the state of the George Mason Just Societies situation on Dec 1st 2024?
$605 tradersResolved
32%
Will Canada's March's housing starts exceed 250,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$202 tradersResolved
50%
Of Manifest 2023 attendees with exactly 1 sibling, will at least 73% be the older sibling?
$152 tradersResolved
55%
Will Canada's October housing starts exceed 260,000 (seasonally adjusted annualized rate)?
$122 tradersResolved
59%
Will Jared Campbell finish the 2024 Barkley Marathons?
$00 tradersResolved
50%