Manifold Creator
TrustMe
@TrustMe
Markets by TrustMe
Will Andrew Cuomo be elected as mayor of New York City?
$35K86 tradersResolved
1%
Will Donald Trump be ranked as the worst US President by the end of his second term according to CSPAN's Survey?
$19K103 tradersopen
48%
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
$17K103 tradersResolved
96%
Will Pete Hegseth resign as US Secretary of Defense before the end of July 2025?
$14K143 tradersResolved
1%
Will Pope Francis pass away before the end of March 2025?
$10K96 tradersResolved
1%
Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
$7K71 tradersopen
22%
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in 2025?
$5K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
$4K52 tradersopen
14%
Will Donald Trump physically meet Vladimir Putin in the months of March, April or May 2025?
$4K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will El Salvador return Kilmar Ábrego García to the United States before the end of 2025?
$3K52 tradersResolved
99%
Will Trump be able to force Jerome Powell to leave or resign from his position as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
$3K38 tradersResolved
4%
Will all surviving Israeli hostages be released by Hamas by the end of February 2025?
$3K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be any assassination attempt on Donald Trump during the term of his presidency?
$3K39 tradersResolved
96%
Will Apple launch foldable phones in 2026?
$2K23 tradersopen
83%
Will Warren Buffett either retire from Berkshire Hathaway or pass away before the end of 2025?
$2K16 tradersResolved
6%
Will the US Federal Reserve issue any rate cuts from May 2025 to end of 2025?
$2K23 tradersResolved
99%
Will Donald Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk on social media anytime during his presidency?
$2K35 tradersResolved
99%
Will anyone attempt to assassinate Elon Musk in 2025?
$2K31 tradersResolved
3%
Will Kamala Harris appear on the Joe Rogan podcast before the November 2024 election?
$2K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will Shohei Ohtani have a baby in the year 2025?
$2K6 tradersResolved
99%
Will any US federal court rule that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has broken federal law in 2025?
$2K25 tradersResolved
91%
Will Elon Musk stop or step back from running DOGE before the end of 2025?
$1K34 tradersResolved
97%
Will Elon Musk post any negative comment about Donald Trump on social media from July 8th to end of August 2025?
$1K26 tradersResolved
4%
Will AOC run for and be elected to Senate in the 2026 mid-term primaries?
$1K13 tradersResolved
4%
AAPL trades at or above $250 before the end of April 2025
$1K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will my flight to India on October 20th be delayed for any reason?
$1K14 tradersResolved
67%
Will a republican be elected as the next mayor of New York City in 2025?
$1K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Trump Administration suspend Habeas Corpus in 2025?
$1K34 tradersResolved
9%
Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?
$1K18 tradersResolved
96%
Will Ukraine reach a peace treaty with Russia before the end of 2025?
$1K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will Phase 1 of the Hamas-Israeli ceasefire agreement be extended past March 1st 2025?
$1K5 tradersResolved
1%
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift during Superbowl LIX?
$1K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Trump administration regain access to the Treasury payment system before the end of February?
$1K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will Donald Trump use the power of the US government to take any action damaging to Elon Musk or his companies in 2025?
$1K21 tradersResolved
86%
Will anyone attempt to assassinate Kamala Harris before the end of 2024?
$1K28 tradersResolved
1%
Will former congressman George Santos be sentenced to serve more than a 2 year prison term?
$1K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will Donald Trump enforce the ban on TikTok during his presidency?
$98320 tradersopen
59%
Will Trump lower tariffs for China by the end of July 2025?
$95124 tradersResolved
98%
Will SAP.DE stock price reach or exceed €300 before the end of March 2025?
$9203 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
$90819 tradersResolved
3%