Manifold Creator
Treldman
@Treldman
Markets by Treldman
Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?
$65K350 tradersResolved
1%
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
$48K72 tradersopen
26%
Will Mary Peltola win reelection in November?
$14K13 tradersResolved
100%
Will Donald Trump be eligible to run for president in 2024?
$9K26 tradersResolved
99%
Will the S&P 500 end the year more than 20% below its all-time high?
$6K36 tradersResolved
96%
Will Tanium go public by 2024?
$4K12 tradersResolved
3%
Will Roger Federer announce his retirement from professional tennis before the start of the US Open (August 29)?
$2K11 tradersResolved
0%
Will $APE and $AMC converge in price (within 10 cents, inclusive) by market close on August 25th?
$9437 tradersResolved
1%
Will this market be above 50% at close this Friday?
$76210 tradersResolved
97%
How many Senate seats will the Democratic caucus (including independents who caucus with the Democrats) hold after the midterms?
$54911 tradersResolved
51%
Will the spread between $APE and $AMC be smaller at market close Monday August 29, 2022?
$1101 tradersResolved
18%
Will the spread between $APE and $AMC be smaller at market close Friday August 26, 2022?
$1073 tradersResolved
66%
[POLL] Should Manifold change the colours used in its free response polls to have higher contrast?
$00 tradersResolved
50%