Manifold Creator

Transparent

@Transparent

Markets by Transparent

In how many months from the the 1 of January 2025 will the Russo-Ukraine war end.

$77K44 tradersopen

50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?

$43K49 tradersResolved
1%

How many seats will Volt Europa hold in the EP after the 2024 election?

$29K20 tradersResolved

Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. in 2025

$24K31 tradersResolved
99%

Israel participates in Eurovision 2026?

$22K43 tradersResolved
99%

Ukraine attacks May 9 parade in Moscow?

$19K70 tradersResolved
1%

Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?

$12K20 tradersResolved
98%

Will the election results of the 26 October 2024 parliamentary elections in Georgia be annulled?

$11K12 tradersResolved
1%

Will Volt be elected into the next Hamburg Parliament (2025)?

$10K12 tradersResolved
1%

Will SAP SE be the biggest European company by market cap on the 31st of December, 2025

$10K7 tradersResolved
1%

Starship experiences sub 2 km RUD by 2026?

$9K15 tradersopen
3%

ECB rate hike in 2026?

$8K15 tradersopen
97%

Von der Leyen meets with Trump before July 1?

$8K20 tradersResolved
1%

Will the opposition win the 2024 Georgian parliamentary election?

$8K7 tradersResolved
1%

Will the EU introduce any form of direct taxation during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

$4K19 tradersopen
22%

EU Commission proposal for EU budget size(€bn)?[Short Fuse]

$3K4 tradersResolved

Will the election results of the 26 October 2024 parliamentary elections in Georgia be annulled?

$3K12 tradersResolved
7%

Will pro-opposition protesters occupy The Parliament of Georgia in 2024?

$3K13 tradersResolved
8%

In how many years will the EU federalise

$3K12 tradersopen

Will any veto rights for EUs Common Foreign and Security Policy be removed during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

$2K4 tradersopen
27%

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

$2K12 tradersopen
31%

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

$2K5 tradersopen
10%

Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

$2K7 tradersopen
45%

Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028

$1K10 tradersopen
40%

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

$9495 tradersopen
29%

China's nominal GDP exceeds EU's in 2027?

$84012 tradersopen
49%

Will the energy biding zones for either Germany or France be split by 2030?

$7501 tradersopen
50%

EU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?

$3093 tradersopen
47%

EU Commission proposal for EU budget size(€bn)?[Short Fuse]

$501 tradersResolved