Manifold Creator

totalverb

@TotalVerb

Markets by totalverb

US tariffs on Canada delayed again on or before March 4, 2025

$71K127 tradersResolved
2%

Will Trump resign prior to the end of his term?

$5K21 tradersopen
3%

Will any of the top 5 global companies by market cap be non-American on March 29, 2025?

$5K17 tradersResolved
1%

Which country will have the highest GDP growth percentage in 2024?

$4K21 tradersResolved

Which models will be visible on the ChatGPT default model picker on Jun 28, 2025? (plus account)

$3K24 tradersResolved

Will any of the top 5 global companies by market cap be non-American on June 28, 2025?

$2K18 tradersResolved
1%

At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Jan 25, 2025?

$2K8 tradersResolved

At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Apr 26, 2025?

$2K16 tradersResolved

SEPTA implements 21.5% fare increase by September 1, 2025

$2K11 tradersResolved
1%

In which quarter of 2025 will US egg prices peak?

$2K19 tradersResolved

At least how many global companies will have a market cap of at least $1T on Jul 26, 2025?

$1K9 tradersResolved

Will Deepseek release Deepseek V3.3?

$1K9 tradersResolved
1%

Will Deepseek release Deepseek V3.14?

$99410 tradersResolved
1%

Will any of the top 5 global companies by market cap be non-American on December 28, 2024?

$9494 tradersResolved
1%

Which models will be visible on the ChatGPT default model picker on Dec 28, 2024?

$9176 tradersResolved

Will Tesla's market cap exceed all other automakers combined on April 26, 2025?

$9129 tradersResolved
1%

Before which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?

$7349 tradersopen

Will Canada's population decline?

$59012 tradersResolved

Which models will be visible on the ChatGPT default model picker on Mar 29, 2025?

$54613 tradersResolved

Hoboken PATH station reopens by February 25, 2025

$4316 tradersResolved
96%

Will Amtrak have at least 39 routes on Dec 31, 2025?

$4273 tradersResolved
96%

Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2027?

$37513 tradersopen
13%

Will the combined market cap of Canadian companies exceed the market cap of individual US companies on May 31, 2025?

$3626 tradersResolved

When will the Rubin telescope achieve first light?

$3254 tradersResolved

How many Korean songs will be in the top 10 of Spotify Weekly Top Songs Global for the week ending June 26, 2025?

$3237 tradersResolved

What will be the market cap rank of the top Chinese semiconductor company on May 31, 2025?

$3185 tradersResolved

Will LLMs be the best reasoning models on these dates?

$2648 tradersResolved

Will the combined market cap of Canadian companies exceed the market cap of individual US companies on Feb 22, 2025?

$2385 tradersResolved

Will Netflix's top English-language film for the week ending December 1, 2024, be a holiday film?

$1866 tradersResolved
75%

Will S&P downgrade the US to AA or lower by 2028?

$1836 tradersopen
33%

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

$1827 tradersopen
26%

How many Korean songs will be in the top 10 of Spotify Weekly Top Songs Global for the week ending March 27, 2025?

$1784 tradersResolved

Will Indonesia's high speed rail network be expanded by 2032?

$1305 tradersopen
76%

PATH station at Newark Airport opens by January 1, 2035

$1052 tradersopen
19%

PATH station at Newark Airport opens by January 1, 2040

$835 tradersopen
24%

Will Indonesia's high speed rail network be expanded by 2028?

$653 tradersopen
38%

Will Amazon buy Saks?

$544 tradersopen
24%

Will Dar es Salaam, Tanzania have a Metro System before 2030?

$402 tradersopen
41%

SEPTA implements 21.5% fare increase by January 1, 2026?

$221 tradersResolved
50%