Manifold Creator
Tom DAVID
@TomDAVID
Markets by Tom DAVID
Will an Open Source LLM be used by a terrorist to kill ≥100 people before the end june 2024?
$13K50 tradersResolved
1%
Will China declined the invitation to the AI Safety Summit host in UK?
$7K37 tradersResolved
2%
Did generative AI have a causal effect on the major outage generated by Crowdstrike?
$5K26 tradersResolved
4%
Will China be invited to the Global Summit on Artificial Intelligence announced by Rishi Sunak?
$2K29 tradersResolved
81%
Will the AI Safety Summit host in UK lead to the creation of an International Institution for the AI Governance?
$2K25 tradersResolved
6%
In 2024, will an AI evaluation start up raise more than 10 million in EU?
$4517 tradersResolved
12%
Will Spain suceed in lanching is new AI agency before the AI Safety Summit in november?
$4213 tradersResolved
98%
Will the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?
$2008 tradersopen
76%
Will we have a sufficient level of international coordination to ensure that AI is no longer threat before 2030?
$1348 tradersopen
22%
Will AI seriously undermine nuclear deterrence before 2030?
$1116 tradersopen
35%
Will the EU announce the creation of a new agency to oversee the implementation and application of the AI Act pre-2025?
$765 tradersResolved
32%
Is it possible to align scaffolded LLMs with human values?
$715 tradersopen
70%
Will the BRICS summit on AI discuss military cooperation on autonomous weapons?
$624 tradersResolved
27%
Will the BRICS study group on AI's main remit include AI safety?
$581 tradersResolved
79%