Manifold Creator

TobyBW

@TobyBW

Markets by TobyBW

Which team will lose the NBA Finals 2023?

$59K29 tradersResolved

Will anyone earn Ṁ1,000,000 (1 million mana) profit by the end of May 2023?

$25K43 tradersResolved
99%

Melee The Match: ALL matches

$24K10 tradersResolved

Will anyone earn Ṁ1,000,000 (1 million mana) profit by the end of June 2023?

$21K28 tradersResolved
97%

Will anyone earn Ṁ1,000,000 (1 million mana) profit by the end of May 20th?

$13K17 tradersResolved
99%

Will Chapter 3 of Deltarune be released by the end of July?

$13K13 tradersResolved
1%

Will Ludwig complete the Ludlocke in under 30 runs?

$9K4 tradersResolved
100%

Will I end in 1st place in my Platinum League?

$9K14 tradersResolved
0%

Will anyone earn 2 million mana profit by the end of February 2024?

$7K21 tradersResolved
1%

When will the resolution of Mira's Sudoku market be guaranteed? (READ DESCRIPTION)

$6K24 tradersResolved
18%

Will the resolution of the “100 traders” market change?

$6K29 tradersResolved
5%

Will I rank up to Diamond this month?

$6K32 tradersResolved
10%

Will each of these options ever be above their listed probabilities?

$6K6 tradersResolved

Will the Red Wings beat the WooSox tonight?

$5K1 tradersResolved
100%

Will I lose at least 5k mana by the end of January?

$4K21 tradersResolved
2%

Will Chapter 3 of Deltarune be released before the end of July this year?

$3K12 tradersResolved
1%

Will the last game in the NBA finals be won by 10 or more points?

$3K13 tradersResolved
1%

Will Manifold break again in January?

$2K10 tradersResolved
99%

This market resolves to the Jacobi symbol (a,n) [See description]

$2K4 tradersResolved
97%

Will Atrioc publish a YouTube video in May?

$1K12 tradersResolved
3%

Will I get the world record in speedrunning Poinpy in May?

$5947 tradersResolved
3%

Which team will win the 2024 Men's Beanpot Championship?

$4972 tradersResolved

Will I earn at least 10x the mana as the 2nd place in my league?

$3579 tradersResolved
35%

What will be the last two digits of the BTC height at close?

$1784 tradersResolved
79%

Will I score at least 40 points on the Putnam exam?

$1647 tradersResolved
30%

Will I win my university’s integration bee?

$14212 tradersResolved
46%

Will a new mainline Star Wars movie be released by 2030?

$1408 tradersopen
59%

At close time, how many comments will the Whales vs. Minnows market have?

$1267 tradersResolved
19%

Write a good summary of what has happened on Manifold from June 2023 to today.

$00 tradersResolved