Manifold Creator
Tetra
@Tetraspace
Markets by Tetra
Who will be elected president in 2028?
$1.7M1,956 tradersopen
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When will Frontier Airlines first offer transatlantic flights?
$172K16 tradersResolved
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Will Tetraspace travel internationally before 2033?
$84K20 tradersResolved
97%
Tetrabay Prop Bets
$63K18 tradersResolved
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What will the highest elo of an open-source model on chatbot arena be at the end of 2024?
$54K28 tradersResolved
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When will Tetra's Wendy's arrive?
$50K14 tradersResolved
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(100× amplified odds; details within) Will a nuclear weapon hit London in 2022?
$46K74 tradersResolved
3%
If Joe Biden becomes the Democratic nominee, will he win the 2024 election?
$41K157 tradersResolved
37%
Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2026?
$39K14 tradersResolved
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Will Trump be legally allowed to run in the presidential primary in Colorado?
$36K30 tradersResolved
97%
How much time will Tetra spend in each city in 2025?
$32K6 tradersResolved
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Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur on November 18th, 2023?
$27K42 tradersResolved
100%
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
$27K97 tradersopen
50%
Which countries will Tetraspace visit in 2025?
$21K12 tradersResolved
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When will Tetraspace next test negative for COVID?
$21K12 tradersResolved
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If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election?
$20K146 tradersResolved
51%
What quarter and year will Silksong be released in?
$20K71 tradersResolved
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If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has an okay outcome, which of these tags will make up the reason?
$20K25 tradersopen
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When will Bet on Love tickets sell out?
$18K11 tradersResolved
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Did the next permanent CEO of OpenAI sign the FLI Pause letter?
$15K48 tradersResolved
3%
Will the responder one-box in this Transparent Newcomb's Paradox?
$15K176 tradersResolved
41%
Which organisation is june-chatbot created by?
$15K14 tradersResolved
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UK General Election: Which party will win in Chelmsford?
$14K16 tradersResolved
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Who will become Prime Minister following the 2024 United Kingdom general election?
$14K45 tradersResolved
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UK General Election: Which party will win in Clacton?
$14K40 tradersResolved
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When will Tetra's Wendy's arrive (minutes after 3 am)?
$14K7 tradersResolved
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Which cities in the US will Tetra visit in 2024?
$13K17 tradersResolved
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UK General Election: Which party will win in Rochdale?
$13K20 tradersResolved
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Will Giving What We Can handle donations to the Happier Lives Institute in July 2024?
$13K3 tradersResolved
90%
Who is the Knight in Deltarune?
$13K42 tradersopen
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Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
$12K43 tradersopen
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When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
$12K23 tradersopen
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Tetrajapan Prop Bets
$11K23 tradersResolved
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Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2025?
$11K12 tradersResolved
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UK General Election: Which party will win in Maidenhead?
$11K18 tradersResolved
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Who will mount a leadership campaign in the 2024 Conservative Party leadership election?
$11K23 tradersResolved
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Will the Twitter tweet ranking algorithm and implementation be published under an open source license on or before midnight on the 3rd of March 2023?
$10K19 tradersResolved
0%
Will there be an Unsong musical by the end of 2026?
$10K47 tradersopen
64%
If Democrats have 51 seats in the Senate after the midterms, will the Senate break legislative filibuster?
$10K13 tradersResolved
1%
When will Frontier airlines fly its first flight using the A321XLR plane?
$10K5 tradersResolved
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