Manifold Creator
Max Weinzierl
@Supermaxman
Markets by Max Weinzierl
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
$12K67 tradersopen
27%
Will artificial intelligence be directly tied to an unemployment rise in the USA by the end of 2025?
$8K27 tradersResolved
2%
Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030?
$5K50 tradersopen
12%
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
$5K42 tradersResolved
5%
Will Python be replaced as the go-to programming language for AI development by the end of 2040?
$4K46 tradersopen
84%
Is gravity fundamentally quantum?
$3K37 tradersopen
84%
Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?
$2K22 tradersResolved
84%
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
$2K26 tradersResolved
94%
Will the nature of dark matter be known by 2030?
$1K27 tradersopen
16%
Will a new deep learning paradigm replace the transformer by the end of 2024?
$1K21 tradersResolved
8%
Will Type 1 Diabetes be cured by the end of 2040?
$1K23 tradersopen
51%
Will GTA 7 release before the end of 2040?
$1K18 tradersopen
47%
Will Nvidia launch the GeForce 50 series by the end of 2025?
$85918 tradersResolved
95%
Will the matter-antimatter asymmetry problem be considered solved by the end of 2040?
$55417 tradersopen
27%
Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?
$51215 tradersopen
23%
Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?
$44017 tradersopen
27%
Will the nature of dark energy be known by 2030?
$33018 tradersopen
17%
Will Gemini Ultra outperform GPT-4V on visual reasoning by the end of 2024?
$1557 tradersResolved
59%
Will ACL continue to utilize ARR as the sole method of submission in 2025?
$264 tradersResolved
67%