Manifold Creator
Pat Scott🩴
@Stralor
Markets by Pat Scott🩴
Who will be the 2024 Democratic nominee for VP? (Vice President)
$7.9M2,230 tradersResolved
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Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
$6.4M1,962 tradersResolved
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Who will be the 2024 Democratic nominee for President?
$170K147 tradersResolved
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Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?
$96K155 tradersopen
10%
Will she like the soup?
$79K22 tradersResolved
100%
Will Wagner PMC (the org) resume operations alongside Russia in 2023?
$60K194 tradersResolved
6%
What will be true of the TSLA 8/8 market by the time it closes?
$57K58 tradersResolved
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Will I eat ass in the next 24...?
$42K57 tradersResolved
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Will anyone have an orgy at Manifest?
$36K112 tradersResolved
99%
Will Manifold have 10+ open prize markets at the end of August?
$36K40 tradersResolved
1%
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
$34K101 tradersopen
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Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for president?
$32K85 tradersResolved
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What games will win in any category at The Game Awards 2023?
$31K137 tradersResolved
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Was the Trump shooting a false flag?
$30K54 tradersResolved
2%
How many of the first Manifold Masters will remain so through the end of 2023?
$29K25 tradersResolved
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Will any AI cause an international incident before August 2024?
$27K77 tradersResolved
1%
What will be true of TSLA 10/11?
$24K20 tradersResolved
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What games will be nominated for Game of the Year at The Game Awards 2023?
$24K31 tradersResolved
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Within a month of the 2024 Olympics, will any Olympic athlete attempt to "defect" or seek asylum?
$23K40 tradersResolved
99%
[Season 6] Who will be the top ranked earners in each of the Diamond cohorts? (independent free response)
$22K18 tradersResolved
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Will Meta's Threads have a censorship uproar within the first three months?
$22K37 tradersResolved
98%
Will Prize Points to USD be released before Election Day (US)?
$22K38 tradersResolved
7%
Riddle: Are there more Eyes than Feet in the world?
$21K114 tradersResolved
11%
Will any country's current Head of State or Government die in the next month? (Sept-Oct)
$21K64 tradersResolved
3%
Will the name of Nintendo's next console include a number?
$20K94 tradersResolved
100%
My dumb game releases by end Sept??
$20K55 tradersResolved
90%
Manifold Plays Poker: Buy In (Hand 3 - CHAOS MODE)
$20K15 tradersResolved
0%
Marbula One Prop Bets (M1 Season 5) Marble Racing!
$19K7 tradersResolved
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Humanity survives a Great Filter
$19K28 tradersopen
89%
Will my portfolio reach M$25,000 at any point in 2023, only counting organic growth? (M1000 subsidy)
$19K32 tradersResolved
99%
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
$18K102 tradersopen
84%
[Inverting Resolutions] What would be true in a world where Donald Trump wins the election?
$18K80 tradersResolved
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YOUNGBASEDGO Stock
$18K74 tradersopen
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Manifold Plays Poker: Buy In (Hand 1)
$16K14 tradersResolved
34%
What games will be nominated for Best Independent Game at The Game Awards 2023?
$16K17 tradersResolved
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Will leagues season 4 have a league chat?
$16K21 tradersResolved
100%
When this market closes, will I still have a limit order on it?
$15K29 tradersResolved
0%
When this market closes, will it be between 60 and 80%?
$15K60 tradersResolved
61%
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
$15K36 tradersResolved
2%
Will Caitlin Clark break the NCAA scoring record in Iowa's game vs. Ohio State on Sunday? If so, how and when?
$14K14 tradersResolved
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