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Manifold Creator

Stephen Bank

@StephenBank

Markets by Stephen Bank

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

$1K9 tradersopen

Will Anthropic explicitly ban competing models from using Claude Code before July 1st 2026?

$43616 tradersopen

Will Pope Leo criticize JD Vance by name before the 2028 election?

$1227 tradersopen