Manifold Creator

Luke

@SpaceboyLuke

Markets by Luke

[Subsidized 10K] Will all seven states (NC, GA, PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV) swing blue in November?

$82K257 tradersResolved
15%

Will Trump be convicted of a felony prior to the GOP Convention on July 18th, 2024?

$15K59 tradersResolved
99%

Which candidates will appear on-stage for the 4th Republican Primary Debate on Dec 6th?

$15K46 tradersResolved

[Subsidized] Will someone other than Biden or Trump win the 2024 US Presidential election?

$11K33 tradersResolved
4%

When will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act?

$9K25 tradersopen

Which GOP candidate will come in second in the Iowa Caucuses (Jan 15th)? (M500 subsidy)

$4K49 tradersResolved

When will news break that House Speaker Mike Johnson has engaged in homosexual (or queer coded) activities?

$1K7 tradersResolved

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, will the US hold free & fair elections in 2028?

$97718 tradersResolved
77%

In North Carolina, how large will the margin of victory be in the ‘24 Presidential Election (in number of votes).

$7374 tradersResolved

How many republicans will NOT vote for Rep Mike Johnson in the fourth House Speaker election?

$5728 tradersResolved

[Subsidized] How much will my raise be in Jan 2024?

$31312 tradersResolved

On a hypothetical 2024 Democratic ticket for President, which Prez+VP combo would you be most excited to vote for?

$2637 tradersResolved

[Subsidized] In which decade will the global human population rebound/decrease?

$904 tradersopen

Will the 2nd gen AirPods Max have an H3 or updated H2 chip?

$553 tradersResolved

Will my wife get a much deserved promotion before April 2024?

$503 tradersResolved
26%

Who would you vote for in the 2024 US General Election for President, Kamala Harris or Nikki Haley?

$040 tradersResolved