Manifold Creator
Snarflak
@Snarflak
Markets by Snarflak
Will Vermont's Condorcet ranked choice voting bill become law?
$17K30 tradersResolved
5%
Will Trump flee to Russia?
$4K24 tradersopen
5%
How many states will disqualify Donald Trump from their ballots?
$4K15 tradersResolved
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Will Congress disqualify Trump from holding office before 2025 inauguration?
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
If Harris wins, will Trump publicly deny the official 2024 election results?
$2K23 tradersResolved
86%
How soon after Trump is convicted of a felony will his Wikipedia article be updated?
$2K10 tradersResolved
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If Trump wins, will Harris publicly deny the official 2024 election results?
$1K17 tradersResolved
1%
Which will happen first, Civil War 2 or World War 3?
$78020 tradersopen
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Will Elon Musk survive long enough to witness human population collapse?
$4609 tradersopen
8%
If Harris is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
$806 tradersResolved
39%
Will more Americans support abolishing the Electoral College after the 2024 election?
$687 tradersclosed
56%
If a Democrat wins the Presidency while losing the popular vote, will Republicans turn against the Electoral College?
$466 tradersopen
59%
If Harris becomes President, will gas prices stay under four dollars a gallon until the midterms?
$151 tradersResolved
57%
Do you consider January 6th, 2021 to be an attempted coup?
$0103 tradersopen
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Does training LLMs or LTGMs on copyrighted material violate copyright?
$020 tradersopen
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Do you support the "No One Is Above the Law Amendment"?
$011 tradersopen
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