Manifold Creator
Jack Hammer
@Slackhammer
Markets by Jack Hammer
Is there anything objective to learn from psychadelics research?
$3K21 tradersclosed
89%
The moon is made of green cheese.
$2K17 tradersResolved
82%
Will humanity be wiped out by an artificially intelligent Orgasm Maximizer?
$1K8 tradersResolved
1%
Odds a child has ever been sacrificed for adrenochrome?
$1K9 tradersResolved
1%
2+2 = ?
$9517 tradersResolved
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Do squirrels secretly run everything?
$9097 tradersResolved
1%
Will humans rent their bodies out to AI?
$8985 tradersResolved
1%
I am Skeleton Jelly.
$8574 tradersResolved
99%
Will a genetically modified slime mold escape from a lab by 2028?
$8118 tradersResolved
2%
∇•B = ?
$7525 tradersResolved
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Will there be a military coup to restore order in the US by 2025?
$7119 tradersclosed
2%
Are current conditions the result of an AI created in the future?
$7037 tradersResolved
3%
Methods to clean up microplastic.
$63010 tradersclosed
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How many of the political markets on Manifold are push polling?
$6116 tradersResolved
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Will the solution to AI alignment be found in Animism?
$5908 tradersResolved
6%
Will all pornography be illegal in the US by 2028?
$5403 tradersResolved
2%
Are the effects of psychadelic hallucinogens in any way related to quantum effects in the brain?
$50511 tradersclosed
14%
Will a video game NPC become self-aware and/or independently selected by AI to represent itself by 2025?
$3986 tradersResolved
6%
Will they finally get what's coming to them?
$3033 tradersResolved
94%
In what order will astronauts bounce around on these solar system bodies?
$2173 tradersclosed
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In the 19th Century, did they have the technology to thermo-electrically sense a cow 1/4 mile away?
$1998 tradersResolved
20%
Which species will AI covertly train and employ to do its bidding?
$1964 tradersclosed
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Will gold still be valuable in 2050?
$1965 tradersclosed
85%
When will AI be able to dox anyone based on publicly-available writing samples?
$1735 tradersclosed
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Which color of Soylent will be most popular in 2030?
$1615 tradersResolved
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What's the best hedge against hyperinflation?
$1615 tradersclosed
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Could a higher-dimensional being use the Banach–Tarski paradox to recreate the loaves and fishes miracle?
$1607 tradersResolved
16%
How many devices sold in 2024 contain hardware-based spyware?
$1554 tradersResolved
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If AGI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it create SCP-style cognitohazards or antimemes within a year?
$1154 tradersclosed
18%
Is 'The Wild Robot' AI propaganda?
$957 tradersclosed
21%
Which sauce or condiment will be the most popular on human flesh in 2027?
$575 tradersResolved
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How can the presence of money get work from people without being given to them?
$563 tradersclosed
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Will we make great pets?
$554 tradersclosed
62%
Will humans wipe out humans, thinking that they are wiping out an AI?
$543 tradersResolved
39%
Corporate AI Deathmatch
$416 tradersResolved
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Will the housing crisis abate in 2025?
$304 tradersclosed
37%
Will diamonds still be valuable in 2050?
$273 tradersclosed
57%
The origin of sulfur stones recently discovered on Mars will turn out to be...
$254 tradersclosed
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Will AI be able to brainwash users by 2045?
$232 tradersclosed
60%
Will the Milsford Scenario play out in the U.S. by Thanksgiving, 2024?
$201 tradersclosed
41%