Manifold Creator
[c]
@Sinclair
Markets by [c]
Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000
$392K115 tradersopen
19%
Will "menswear guy" fight Jamie Wolf outside UNIQLO on Sunday? And if so, who will win?
$40K80 tradersResolved
—
Was a CCP spy present at The Curve or afterparty
$25K27 tradersopen
3%
Will the big api change I'm about to push cause any noticeable issues to the site?
$15K9 tradersResolved
100%
Will I talk with a whale by 2027? 🐳
$15K85 tradersopen
9%
Will manifold add an autoload feature by end of Feb 2023?
$14K32 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold have an anime girl mascot by April 1, 2023
$14K52 tradersResolved
97%
Will Austin Chen get a girlfriend at any point in 2022?
$13K77 tradersResolved
98%
Will @JamesGrugett get his stolen car back?
$13K33 tradersResolved
100%
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto
$12K88 tradersopen
—
Should I get to higher ground RIGHT NOW
$12K22 tradersResolved
1%
Are almost all women into women? (will it replicate?)
$11K136 tradersopen
67%
Will a sex tape of Yudkowsky and Aella, or convincing deepfake, be released in 2023
$11K53 tradersResolved
2%
Will I return to America in February 2025 as a free citizen?
$10K16 tradersResolved
79%
Will i fall in love with an AI by 2024
$10K75 tradersResolved
4%
What should we call the digital currency used to bet on Manifold Markets
$9K48 tradersResolved
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If manifold adds a swipe-based mobile interface, will we consider it a success?
$8K30 tradersResolved
3%
What will manifold.love dating site be named on April 1? [suggest answers]
$7K36 tradersResolved
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Which girl will Aqua Hoshino end up with in Oshi No Ko?
$7K13 tradersResolved
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Will @SG get his scooter stolen AGAIN again before end of 2023
$6K22 tradersResolved
4%
Should Manifold focus more on @CGPGrey than CPG (Consumer packaged goods) to grow?
$6K13 tradersResolved
100%
Will any manifold employee have anything stolen in Puerto Rico?
$6K47 tradersResolved
97%
Will Qualy the Lightbulb still be alive at the end of 2022?
$6K43 tradersResolved
97%
Will Anthropic give money back as part of SBF/FTX/Alameda bankruptcy proceedings?
$6K19 tradersResolved
1%
Which one human will have the one true techno-religion that is also the answer to the AI alignment
$5K15 tradersResolved
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How will Manifold die?
$4K81 tradersopen
—
Will more than M69,420 be spent on ads by April 1
$4K27 tradersResolved
42%
Will Homelander overthrow the US federal government in The Boys S4?
$4K42 tradersResolved
11%
Will this pull request take down the site or need major changes?
$4K4 tradersResolved
4%
Will catgirls walk among us by 2030
$4K37 tradersopen
12%
Will I learn of any new sexual assaults in Genesis House this year?
$4K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will Sinclair fulfill her promise to not cuddle _ in Feb?
$3K26 tradersResolved
97%
Will I visit Seattle in 2023
$3K10 tradersResolved
98%
Will anyone who meets at Manifest go on at least 5 dates or hookups together
$3K33 tradersResolved
56%
Will HustleGPT get to $100,000 cash on hand before 3/27?
$3K31 tradersResolved
3%
Will CGPGrey copyright strike another channel in 2023
$3K21 tradersResolved
2%
Will I see a Mana-chan cosplayer at Manifest?
$3K29 tradersResolved
4%
Will I get 1000 followers on twitter by 7/1/2023
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will I sign up for cryonics this year?
$3K28 tradersResolved
3%
Will @Sinclair perform with Bayesian Choir at winter solstice 2022
$3K15 tradersResolved
98%