Manifold Creator
SM
@SarM
Markets by SM
Will an AI Generated YouTube Short have more than 500 million views before the end of 2025?
$22K50 tradersResolved
99%
Will gpt-4-turbo-2024-04-09 overtake Claude 3 Opus in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard?
$9K14 tradersResolved
99%
The Boys S4 [Mega Independent]
$3K27 tradersResolved
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The Boys Season 5 Death Pool
$2K22 tradersResolved
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AI snitch arrest by EOY2026?
$1K17 tradersopen
35%
Will OpenAI announce a Text-to-3D model on the Monday event?
$1K38 tradersResolved
6%
Will Soldier Boy return as a non-comatose character in The Boys S4?
$5286 tradersResolved
6%
Will my iPhone 15 pro max have a screen crack by the end of year?
$3304 tradersResolved
37%
What would be OpenAI Sora Video Generation Cost/Minute (in USD)
$894 tradersResolved
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Will I like Fallout (TV show)?
$565 tradersResolved
62%