Manifold Creator
Samuel Millerick
@SamuelMillerick
Markets by Samuel Millerick
Will SpaceX Launch a Starship into orbit this year (2022).
$14K115 tradersResolved
2%
Conditional on Trump winning will the 2028 election be fairly held?
$8K45 tradersopen
87%
Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029
$5K39 tradersopen
10%
Will Planecrash have a bad ending where Keltham destroys everything and everyone?
$5K31 tradersResolved
3%
Will Russia have won its war with Ukraine by the end of the year?
$4K62 tradersResolved
1%
Will Israel have stricter laws against homosexuality than Saudi Arabia by 2040?
$4K11 tradersopen
5%
In the event of a full singularity/intellegence explosion occuring which of these things will be true after the event.
$3K14 tradersopen
—
Will any western country deny women the vote in the 21st century?
$3K20 tradersopen
18%
When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?
$2K1 tradersopen
—
Will a military conflict break out between Russia and Kazakhstan in the next five years?
$52311 tradersopen
11%
Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?
$3105 tradersopen
41%
Will I get a job in a Russian speaking country this year?
$1176 tradersResolved
40%