Manifold Creator
Sailfish
@Sailfish
Markets by Sailfish
Will United Launch Alliance's Vulcan rocket achieve orbit on its first launch?
$56K38 tradersResolved
100%
Will Intuitive Machines' IM-1 mission successfully land on the moon?
$49K138 tradersResolved
6%
Will Varda Space Industries be able to land their capsule before the end of 2023?
$32K36 tradersResolved
1%
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket achieve orbit on its first launch?
$31K67 tradersResolved
99%
Will Wagner Group gain control of nuclear weapons in 2023?
$24K72 tradersResolved
1%
Will the coal mine market get at least 200 traders if it does not receive Ṁ5,000 in subsidies?
$22K7 tradersclosed
3%
Will Astrobotic Technology's Peregrine lander successfully land on the moon?
$14K34 tradersResolved
1%
Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully land on the moon?
$14K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will ArianeGroup's Ariane 6 rocket successfully complete its first launch before 2024?
$13K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Kuril islands market get at least 200 traders if it does not receive Ṁ5,000 in subsidies?
$11K9 tradersclosed
1%
Will Tianwen-3 launch before 2030?
$10K18 tradersopen
60%
Was Prigozhin's excursion to Moscow a plot/scheme/subterfuge/hoax et. al?
$7K20 tradersResolved
3%
Will Relativity Space's Terran 1 rocket launch again before July?
$5K7 tradersResolved
0%
At what age will Richard Hanania die?
$5K18 tradersopen
57%
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
$5K73 tradersopen
36%
Will there be an attempted coup in Belarus in 2023?
$4K33 tradersResolved
3%
Will there be a Hubble reboost mission?
$3K40 tradersopen
53%
Will Relativity Space's Terran 1 rocket launch before April?
$3K13 tradersResolved
92%
Will Intuitive Machine's IM-2 mission successfully land on the moon?
$3K36 tradersResolved
67%
Will NASA's Psyche mission launch before 2024?
$2K9 tradersResolved
98%
Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully return a sample from the moon?
$2K11 tradersclosed
99%
Will Mitsubishi Heavy Industries' H3 rocket launch again before 2024?
$2K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?
$2K15 tradersopen
67%
Will there be a manned outer planets mission before 2100?
$2K38 tradersopen
69%
Will SpaceX's HLS lander launch by 2025?
$2K8 tradersclosed
1%
Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M1 mission successfully land on the moon?
$2K19 tradersResolved
70%
Will the Hanania market get at least 200 traders if it does not receive Ṁ5,000 in subsidies?
$2K4 tradersclosed
2%
Will a coal mine be bought and closed by climate activists by 2033?
$2K43 tradersopen
59%
Will Intuitive Machine's IM-3 mission successfully land on the moon?
$1K20 tradersopen
73%
Will ispace's SERIES 2 mission successfully land on the moon?
$1K8 tradersclosed
55%
Will Japan regain control over some or all of the contested Kuril islands by 2028?
$1K16 tradersopen
6%
Will the AI diagnosis market get at least 200 traders if it does not receive Ṁ5,000 in subsidies?
$1K8 tradersclosed
10%
Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2023?
$1K13 tradersResolved
—
Will Relativity Space's Terran 1 rocket achieve orbit on its first launch?
$1K6 tradersResolved
4%
Will Mitsubishi Heavy Industries' H3 rocket achieve orbit on its next launch?
$1K7 tradersResolved
98%
Will HAKUTO-R M1 sucessfully land on the moon?
$1K9 tradersResolved
5%
How many times will NASA's SLS rocket launch?
$1K12 tradersopen
13%
Will Manifold's calibration be better at the end of 2027?
$1K14 tradersopen
—
Will Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
$1K7 tradersopen
98%
Will it rain in Ripton Vermont on August 5th 2023?
$1K12 tradersResolved
12%