Manifold Creator
Rodeo
@Rodeo
Markets by Rodeo
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
$89K82 tradersResolved
99%
Will Bryan Caplan concede his AI bet with Matthew Barnett by June 1, 2023?
$80K42 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
$71K50 tradersResolved
99%
Will OpenAI announce that they will stop using freely crawled data for training large language models, by April 9 2024?
$67K33 tradersResolved
0%
Will Nonlinear post its response by EOY?
$49K36 tradersResolved
100%
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
$34K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
$30K11 tradersResolved
98%
Will Bard Advanced (with Gemini Ultra) be launched by January 31, 2024?
$27K75 tradersResolved
0%
Will Nonlinear post its response by November 13?
$26K58 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Experience Machines substack post monthly links roundups for March and April?
$3K8 tradersResolved
93%
Will the Experience Machines substack post 2+ times a month for the rest of the year?
$1K4 tradersopen
84%
Will a K5 autonomous security robot be deployed by the NYPD by August 15?
$1K12 tradersResolved
9%
Will Grimes follow Julian Hazell on Twitter before Eliezer Yudkowsky does?
$60315 tradersResolved
59%
Will a K5 autonomous security robot be deployed by the NYPD on December 15?
$2855 tradersclosed
93%
Will the Digidog robot be used by the NYPD this year?
$2374 tradersResolved
13%
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet with Samuel Knoche about college enrollment levels?
$1437 tradersclosed
86%