Manifold Creator
Robin Bruce
@RobinBruce
Markets by Robin Bruce
Will Sam Bankman-Fried’s trial (including sentencing) conclude before the end of 2023?
$331K614 tradersResolved
1%
Will Coinbase (COIN) be above $80 on Jan 1st 2025
$14K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will Changpeng Zhao (aka @cz_binance) be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
$12K43 tradersResolved
96%
Will Elon Musk get twitter.com to redirect to x.com by 1st January 2024?
$11K71 tradersResolved
3%
Will Donald Trump be in jail, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2025
$10K24 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk get twitter.com to redirect to x.com by 1st January 2025?
$9K20 tradersResolved
99%
Will Mitch McConnell still be a senator in 2024?
$7K31 tradersResolved
98%
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) be at or above $440 on Jan 1st 2025
$6K35 tradersResolved
1%
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) be at or above $350 on Jan 1st 2025
$6K28 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk get twitter.com to redirect to x.com by 1st December 2023?
$4K19 tradersResolved
1%
Will Lido Staked Ether (STETH) Market Cap be above $20B at the end of 2023
$3K8 tradersResolved
97%
Will Elon Musk be in jail, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
$3K27 tradersopen
15%
Will Elon Musk get twitter.com to redirect to x.com by 1st July 2024?
$3K16 tradersResolved
99%
Will ARKK be at or above $50 on Jan 1st 2025?
$2K11 tradersResolved
99%
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) be at or above $300 on Jan 1st 2025
$2K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will more than 250 Israeli settlers reside in Gaza at the end of 2024
$1K13 tradersclosed
5%
Will USDC Market Cap be above $24B at the end of 2023
$1K12 tradersResolved
92%
Will Larry Fink be CEO of Blackrock on 1st Jan 2025
$1K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will Coinbase (COIN) be above $90 on Jan 1st 2025
$7605 tradersResolved
99%
Will the 200-person march to the Temple Mount on Thursday 7th Dec devolve into a larger riot
$71711 tradersResolved
11%
Will USDC Market Cap be above $20B at the end of 2023
$6004 tradersResolved
98%
Will Coinbase delist Tether (USDT) in 2023 for all US customers
$5778 tradersResolved
7%
Will Nayib Bukele be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
$5218 tradersopen
22%
Will Illumina ($ILMN), with its new CEO, return to profitability any financial quarter in 2024?
$3895 tradersclosed
93%
Will Manifold ever do anything to stop spammy engagement-farming questions like this one?
$2457 tradersResolved
73%
Will Kraken delist Tether (USDT) in 2023 for all US customers
$2365 tradersResolved
12%
Will LLM inference for the largest models run on analogue circuitry as the primary element of computuation by end 2028?
$1575 tradersopen
19%
Will Justin Sun be in jail, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
$723 tradersopen
78%