Accrue
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillancePricing
Log inGet Access
  1. Accrue
  2. /Home
  3. /Manifold
  4. /lil’ twix
Manifold Creator

lil’ twix

@Ricotta

Markets by lil’ twix

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

$47K81 tradersopen
6%

Will Anthropic publicly acknowledge a significant/systematic degradation of Claude Opus 4.5 by February 29, 2026?

$20K27 tradersResolved
1%

Will Max Verstappen be a Red Bull driver in the first race of the 2026 season?

$17K51 tradersResolved
99%

Who will the 49ers extend first? (Trent or Aiyuk)

$6922 tradersResolved
—

Colossal Biosciences: which happens first?

$2187 tradersopen
—
5
Markets Created
Total Volume$84K
Total Traders168
Resolved3
View on Manifold →
Accrue© 2026
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillance
The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets
TermsPrivacyRisk DisclosureCookiesDisclaimerAcceptable Use