Manifold Creator
RichardK
@RichardK
Markets by RichardK
Will Trump look at the eclipse without eye protection again?
$13K48 tradersResolved
1%
Which companies will go bankrupt before 2025 because of the Crowdstrike update?
$8K30 tradersResolved
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F1 2024: Will there be a pit stop longer than 1:14.733 this season?
$5K24 tradersResolved
99%
Will Elon Musk or X/Twitter file at least one lawsuit against an entity "responsible" for bots/trolls on X?
$82213 tradersResolved
37%
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
$68821 tradersopen
24%
By 2028 will someone who first started directing after completing a Masterclass/Online Course win an Oscar for direction
$30219 tradersopen
18%
In 2028 how much will it be to rent the 8x NVIDIA H100 SXM server per hour from LambaLabs
$1106 tradersopen
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How much will AI startups raise in 2024 as a ratio of 2023's total of ~50 billion USD
$924 tradersclosed
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