Manifold Creator
Richard Branman
@RichBran
Markets by Richard Branman
A major tech company, besides Anthropic, reports at least 98% of its code is AI-generated before April 1, 2026
$11K59 tradersclosed
4%
As predicted by AI 2027, will AI surpass all living humans in coding ability by January 2027?
$4K54 tradersopen
8%
An AI model published prior to the 2025 IMO achieves gold medal performance
$3K20 tradersclosed
2%
By November 1st 2034, all diseases will be cured
$1K15 tradersopen
4%
A Scott Aaronson style device predicting human actions and internal monologue demonstrated by the end of 2050.
$1326 tradersopen
40%