Manifold Creator
RemNi
@RemNi
Markets by RemNi
Will we get AGI before 2026?
$315K345 tradersResolved
1%
Will we get AGI before 2027?
$228K310 tradersopen
3%
Will we get AGI before 2025?
$194K146 tradersResolved
1%
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
$177K398 tradersResolved
1%
Will we get AGI before 2028?
$156K307 tradersopen
13%
Will we get AGI before 2030?
$127K306 tradersopen
38%
Will we get ASI before 2030?
$97K97 tradersopen
15%
Will we get AGI before 2029?
$97K262 tradersopen
24%
Will we discover alien life before 2026?
$75K63 tradersResolved
1%
Will we discover alien life before 2027?
$70K72 tradersopen
3%
Will we get AGI before 2032?
$63K222 tradersopen
44%
Will we get ASI before 2027?
$46K76 tradersopen
1%
Will we get ASI before 2029?
$44K72 tradersopen
13%
Will we get AGI before 2048?
$42K84 tradersopen
85%
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2026?
$40K50 tradersResolved
99%
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2025?
$40K86 tradersResolved
99%
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2025?
$39K66 tradersResolved
1%
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
$38K169 tradersResolved
99%
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2024?
$36K47 tradersResolved
1%
Will we get AGI before 2031?
$35K160 tradersopen
39%
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?
$33K108 tradersopen
25%
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 500M views before 2026?
$33K81 tradersResolved
4%
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
$31K67 tradersResolved
99%
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?
$29K103 tradersopen
91%
Will we get AGI before 2035?
$29K122 tradersopen
54%
Will we get AGI before 2033?
$28K118 tradersopen
48%
Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2026?
$27K88 tradersResolved
4%
Will GPT-5 be released before Nov 2025?
$26K51 tradersResolved
99%
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024?
$25K97 tradersResolved
1%
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2024?
$24K54 tradersResolved
1%
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2025?
$24K59 tradersResolved
99%
Will GPT-5 be released before Nov 2024?
$24K64 tradersResolved
1%
Will we get ASI before 2028?
$24K66 tradersopen
4%
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?
$24K79 tradersResolved
1%
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?
$23K71 tradersopen
82%
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2024?
$23K45 tradersResolved
1%
Will GPT-5 be released before Jan 2026?
$23K53 tradersResolved
99%
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2024?
$22K46 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2100?
$22K81 tradersopen
18%
Will we get AGI before 2034?
$22K118 tradersopen
51%