Manifold Creator
RedderThanEver
@RedderThanEver
Markets by RedderThanEver
ChatGPT chooses one option: League version!
$41K47 tradersResolved
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A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
$5K78 tradersopen
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Will MrBeast hint at anything political regarding US elections?
$4K37 tradersResolved
7%
What kind of settlement will the first large human space colony be? (Population>1000)
$3K53 tradersopen
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Will the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?
$2K40 tradersopen
25%
Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?
$2K43 tradersopen
38%
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
$2K35 tradersclosed
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Will a referendum proposal to rejoin the EU in the UK parliament be voted before 2025?
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will the first space baby (non-earth) be born by the year 2050?
$1K13 tradersopen
13%
Will tweaking current Large Language Models (LLMs) lead us to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)?
$1K28 tradersopen
19%
Will any state or autonomous region switch to AI governance, or majority AI decision making before 2050?
$67414 tradersopen
45%
Will the EU parliament strip Hungary of voting rights?
$60818 tradersclosed
24%
Will Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) lead directly to the development of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)?
$21813 tradersopen
68%
Where will the first large human space colony be located? (population>1000)
$9611 tradersopen
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Will US presidential election opinion polling for eventual runners correctly predict the result?
$824 tradersclosed
71%
What will be true of the first human space colony? (Population > 1000)
$714 tradersopen
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A question about how selling the "Other" option works.
$00 tradersopen
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Do you think Democrats should have taken the risk to choose a better candidate? [question to American Democrats]
$046 tradersopen
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What is the market value of AGI in your opinion?
$04 tradersResolved
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What is the market value of AGI in your opinion?
$029 tradersopen
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Do you trade on markets based on the market value or your expectations?
$014 tradersopen
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Would you exchange your retirement benefits for anti-aging treatment?
$063 tradersopen
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What is the norm here around betting on your own questions?
$065 tradersopen
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Has Manifold become too buggy recently for you?
$028 tradersResolved
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Which eventuality is more dangerous about AI?
$026 tradersopen
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