Manifold Creator
RS
@RS
Markets by RS
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2025?
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Will Pornhub be blocked in the UK on February 3rd?
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99%
UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025
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17%
Which companies will successfully launch an IPO in 2025?
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Who will be on the Complex Systems podcast in 2025?
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xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
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98%
Will PornHub in the UK require age verification by 25th July 2025?
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99%
What will happen in Season 12 of Curb your Enthusiasm [Add Responses]
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What will be the 'classic' episodes on the 80,000 Hours podcast from 2023?
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #6
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Premier League Weekend Prop Bets, Dec 29-Jan 1 (Matchday 19)
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When will I (first) be able to purchase a Manifest ticket?
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Will a second regional US bank fail in 2024?
$14K32 tradersResolved
99%
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?
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When will Gemini CLI reach version 1.0 (or higher)?
$13K4 tradersResolved
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #5
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Will PornHub in the UK require age verification by July 2025?
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1%
Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #2
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post?
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #8
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #4
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Robinhood provides ISAs in the UK by when?
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #10
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #7
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #9
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Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post? #3
$10K7 tradersResolved
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How much money will GiveWell raise, excluding from Open Philanthropy, in 2024?
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Scott Alexander publishes a post on ACX before Tuesday midnight PST?
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Will I fill the Airbnb I booked for LessOnline/Summercamp/Manifest by the end of April?
$9K18 tradersResolved
99%
What will be the next 'classic' episodes on the 80,000 Hours podcast?
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Will the European Union (EU) "entry-exit system" (EES) launch on 10 November 2024?
$9K5 tradersResolved
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Will Intel spin-off its foundry business by 2026?
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1%
Will Dylan mention Ezra Klein in his Manifest talk?
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Will Manifest offer a mana discount and/or can it be applied retroactively?
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Which company is Broadcom's mystery $10B XPU customer?
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How much money will Nvidia invest in OpenAI in their next raise?
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CoreWeave modifies Core Scientific acquisition terms before shareholder vote?
$7K2 tradersResolved
2%
Which hyperscaler is Applied Digital's Polaris Forge 2 tenant?
$7K2 tradersResolved
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Kevin De Bruyne's next club after Manchester City
$7K7 tradersResolved
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When will OpenAI codex CLI reach version 1.0 (or higher)?
$6K5 tradersopen
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