Manifold Creator

Riley

@RKCarn

Markets by Riley

Will Tesla reach $500 in 2025?

$13K59 tradersResolved
1%

Will @Evan lose the fight in: “will the median of the bids on this question exceed 60?”

$3K18 tradersResolved
99%

A card in Oops all spells deck banned in Magic: The Gathering Legacy before 2026?

$7568 tradersResolved
1%

Will this question get 20 traders by June 1st?

$44510 tradersResolved
15%

Will I recover from stomach bug in two days?

$35710 tradersResolved
24%

Will I reach 50k mana by January 1st 2026?

$25713 tradersResolved
14%

How many days will I close all Apple Watch rings this week?

$2394 tradersResolved

Will I get strep throat this week?

$19711 tradersResolved
15%

Will I boulder outdoors by the end of 2025?

$1604 tradersResolved
15%

Will I have another job by end of year?

$1377 tradersResolved
22%

Will I setup my new computer by Saturday?

$1358 tradersResolved
73%

Will I learn dance choreography taught in an intermediate class?

$1338 tradersResolved
44%

Will I play Magic the Gathering this week?

$1155 tradersResolved
49%

Will I recover from sickness in a week?

$1158 tradersResolved
41%

I play Magic the Gathering this week?

$1005 tradersResolved
29%

Will I stay up after 12am on Fourth of July?

$726 tradersResolved
71%

Will I shower on Saturday?

$719 tradersResolved
55%

Will I get sick again with diarrhea in India?

$668 tradersResolved
67%

Will I get sick with diarrhea in India?

$6610 tradersResolved
60%

Will there be a new top meta deck in modern with the recent banning and unbanning?

$623 tradersResolved
70%

Will I be able to climb v6 by 2025?

$602 tradersResolved
67%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$565 tradersResolved
50%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$527 tradersResolved
50%

Will I learn dances in time for my wedding?

$504 tradersResolved
45%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$507 tradersResolved
49%

Will I miss any steps performing dances at Wedding events?

$504 tradersResolved
64%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$455 tradersResolved
59%

I play Magic the Gathering this week?

$455 tradersResolved
41%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$454 tradersResolved
42%

Will I learn to manage emotions by end of year?

$434 tradersResolved
44%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$402 tradersResolved
34%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$375 tradersResolved
36%

Will I complete another v6 boulder this month?

$354 tradersResolved
60%

How many days will I close all Apple Watch rings this week? - #2

$352 tradersResolved

I go out for a day trip on Memorial Day weekend?

$352 tradersResolved
65%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$326 tradersResolved
56%

Will I weight 185 or under by end of 2025?

$324 tradersResolved
47%

Will I play magic the gathering this week with friends?

$303 tradersResolved
46%

Will I play magic the gathering this week?

$202 tradersResolved
59%

Will I play Magic: The Gathering with friends this weekend?

$113 tradersResolved
49%