Manifold Creator
Q
Markets by Q
Will J.D. Vance publicly criticize the decision to attack Iran before 2029?
$9K24 tradersopen
52%
What seed pair will be the biggest upset in round 1 of the 2026 NCAA D1 Men’s basketball tournament (March Madness)?
$3K15 tradersResolved
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Will JD Vance’s next tweet contain the letter J?
$1K15 tradersResolved
81%
Will the winner of the 2028 U.S. presidential election be taller than the runner-up?
$98210 tradersopen
50%
Who will be the New York Jets’ starting quarterback for the first game of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season?
$6487 tradersopen
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Will we find out what’s on Trump’s neck?
$58116 tradersResolved
16%
How much money will the FDA pay out in 2026 under their new initiative to pay reviewers for quality and speed?
$4772 tradersopen
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Will Futarchy Chess end in a draw?
$28312 tradersopen
59%
Is Mahmoud Ahmadinejad alive?
$2004 tradersopen
89%
Will Victor Wembanyama win at least 4 NBA MVP awards by the time he retires?
$1253 tradersopen
21%
Will either Dianna Russini or Mike Vrabel (or either of their spouses) file for divorce this year?
$1179 tradersopen
70%
Will Casey Means be confirmed as Surgeon General?
$1115 tradersResolved
41%
Arbitrary resolution market (see description)
$738 tradersResolved
51%
Will the print NYT have a top-right A1 story headline that does not mention war in the Middle East in March?
$403 tradersResolved
48%
Where will I rent my next apartment?
$51 tradersopen
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