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Manifold Creator

Pykess

@Pykess

Markets by Pykess

Will OpenAI be the target and victim of a major cyber attack in 2024?

$56K135 tradersResolved
1%

Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?

$24K77 tradersResolved
1%

Will Google's Gemini be the target and victim of a major cyber attack in 2024?

$14K16 tradersResolved
2%

Will @Pykess finish above @Tumbles in this month's League? (Diamond: Pessimistic Sphinxes)

$6K13 tradersResolved
1%

If Trump is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?

$3K14 tradersResolved
1%

Will a nuclear battery be available for consumers in 2024?

$2K55 tradersResolved
5%

Which of these products will be available to consumers LAST? (Add answers!)

$2K45 tradersopen
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Will @Pykess finish #1 in their Manifold League (Silver: Unlucky Poltergeists) this month?

$2K11 tradersResolved
98%

What items will be included in the first meal eaten on the Martian surface?

$2K29 tradersopen
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Will @Pykess promote to Diamond after Season 10?

$2K12 tradersResolved
99%

Will Python remain a leading language until 2026 with or without the GIL?

$1K25 tradersclosed
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Contingent on OpenAI suffering a cyber attack this year; what will the nature of the attack be? (Add Answers)

$1K34 tradersResolved
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Are Manifold League prizes too low?

$94227 tradersResolved
86%

Which horse will place first in the last ever Manifold Derby?

$7828 tradersopen
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Will any major smartphone manufacturer launch a phone with native LLM functionality in 2024?

$75817 tradersResolved
92%

Will Python remain a leading language until 2028 with or without the GIL?

$44012 tradersopen
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Will Trump escape all legal consequences for 6-1-21 AND will Bolsanaro face legal consequences for 8-1-23?

$34010 tradersclosed
74%

Will Tesla significantly invest in new battery chemistry before a solid state battery EV is delivered in the US?

$1959 tradersopen
35%

Will Python remain a leading language until 2030 with or without the GIL?

$17212 tradersopen
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Will Python remain a leading language until 2026 with or without the GIL?

$1001 tradersResolved
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When will the betting interface in the Manifold app run at more than 1 FPS on my phone?

$825 tradersclosed
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If Biden is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?

$504 tradersResolved
34%

If Joe Biden is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?

$333 tradersopen
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Will a randomly selected mkt between "How will the most entertaining question resolve?" & its negation mkt resolve YES?

$214 tradersResolved
49%

If Donald Trump is elected, what will the effective US federal tax rate be for Amazon.com Inc. in tax year 2026?

$202 tradersopen
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Are Manifold League Prizes Too Low?

$022 tradersResolved
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Pykess' Micro-Payments

$00 tradersResolved
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