Manifold Creator
Primer
@Primer
Markets by Primer
Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/no markets on 11/11/2023?
$94K42 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
$37K69 tradersopen
4%
Will there be a penalty after handball in the semifinals or the final of the 2022/23 UEFA Champions League?
$13K11 tradersResolved
0%
When will Commie-Nazis lead in Germany?
$10K25 tradersResolved
—
Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 03/03/2024?
$9K16 tradersResolved
0%
Which country will provide the next World Snooker Champion?
$8K6 tradersResolved
—
Bitcoin * $150,000 * 2026?
$6K13 tradersopen
—
Will Germany need a three party coalition?
$5K30 tradersResolved
1%
2026 World Snooker Championships (Prob Bets)
$4K19 tradersResolved
—
Can you persuade me to stop my streak below 1000?
$4K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ronnie O'Sullivan win the World Snooker Championship 2023?
$3K9 tradersResolved
2%
Will PauseAI protest at least 30 times in 2023?
$3K18 tradersResolved
2%
Will the PauseAI Discord reach 2000 members before 2024?
$3K6 tradersResolved
1%
Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 06/06/2024?
$2K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Google Pixel 8 have a SIM card slot?
$2K10 tradersResolved
99%
Should markets resolve to the letter?
$2K50 tradersResolved
65%
Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 09/09/2024?
$1K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will PauseAI protest at least 100 times in 2023?
$1K4 tradersResolved
1%
Will "Is the probability of dying in the Snake Eyes Paradox 1/36?" resolve via "official resolution"?
$1K11 tradersResolved
94%
What percentage of humans can solve easy Sudoku puzzles? (Resolves to PROB)
$1K25 tradersResolved
50%
German troops deployed in Ukraine in 2025?
$1K30 tradersResolved
2%
Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 09/09/2025?
$1K7 tradersResolved
1%
[Short Fuse / Live] Denmark vs. Germany - Will Denmark win Handball EHF EURO 2026?
$9492 tradersResolved
99%
Will PauseAI protest at least 50 times in 2023?
$9428 tradersResolved
3%
Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 03/03/2026?
$9307 tradersResolved
1%
Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 12/12/2025?
$90210 tradersResolved
1%
Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 03/03/2025?
$90010 tradersResolved
1%
Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 06/06/2025?
$8953 tradersResolved
1%
Will I buy good quality Karigane/Kukicha (green tea variant) in Japan? (Ṁ10k limit order)
$8749 tradersResolved
31%
Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB
$84611 tradersopen
69%
Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
$78321 tradersopen
43%
German troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027?
$75423 tradersopen
7%
Will the PauseAI Discord reach 500 members before 2024?
$5675 tradersResolved
90%
Will the PauseAI Discord reach 1000 members before 2024?
$4514 tradersResolved
4%
Will any reactor of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant be operational in 2028?
$42711 tradersopen
88%
Private New Year's Eve Fireworks possible in Germany?
$42011 tradersopen
—
Will Oliver Kahn and Hasan Salihamidžić both keep their current jobs at FC Bayern Munich in 2023?
$3742 tradersResolved
36%
Is this the real life? (resolves N/A in a week)
$1678 tradersResolved
48%
Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 06/06/2026?
$1628 tradersResolved
20%
Resolution criteria mandatory for Yes/No markets on 09/09/2026?
$1073 tradersopen
20%