Manifold Creator
Pogo Stick
@PogoStick
Markets by Pogo Stick
Who will speak at the DNC?
$14K52 tradersResolved
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Who will be the first Cabinet member to leave in 2025?
$4K17 tradersResolved
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What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on July 23?
$4K17 tradersResolved
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Will Trump release Epstein files by...? [Polymarket]
$4K39 tradersResolved
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Will TikTok be banned again before May? [Polymarket]
$3K24 tradersResolved
1%
JD Vance Replaced as Republican VP before September?
$3K17 tradersResolved
1%
How many votes to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director by April 30?
$3K16 tradersResolved
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Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
Genesis Cup Winner [Polymarket]
$2K2 tradersResolved
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Will any Democratic senator vote for government funding bill by Friday?
$2K10 tradersResolved
100%
Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 14?
$2K12 tradersResolved
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What will Vance say during Rogan podcast? (Polymarket)
$2K20 tradersResolved
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Trump trade deal before June?
$2K11 tradersResolved
99%
Weekly Biden Death Markets [January 11, 2026 - February 7 2026]
$2K11 tradersResolved
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Weekly Biden Death Markets [March 8 - April 4 2026]
$2K11 tradersResolved
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When will Polymarket US launch?
$2K8 tradersResolved
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Will Biden be removed via the 25th Amendment before election?
$2K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy? [Launch scheduled November 19 5PM Eastern Time]
$2K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Senate pass a bill limiting POTUS tariff authority before July 1?
$2K14 tradersResolved
0%
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?
$2K23 tradersResolved
99%
Weekly Biden Death Markets [December 14 - January 10, 2026]
$2K13 tradersResolved
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Yoon arrested by January 31?
$2K29 tradersResolved
99%
Will Kamala Harris publicly concede by noon Wednesday?
$2K17 tradersResolved
2%
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%? [Polymarket]
$2K4 tradersResolved
99%
What will David Sacks say during presser today? [Polymarket]
$1K9 tradersResolved
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Will Iran possess a nuke before 2025?
$1K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will SCOTUS rule on Learning Resources v. Trump before 2026?
$1K6 tradersResolved
1%
Yoon arrested by Friday?
$1K28 tradersResolved
1%
Will a protestor invade the stage at the DNC?
$1K7 tradersResolved
1%
Before which days will a Prize Points market be created? [September 12 - 21]
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Will Mark Robinson drop out in September?
$1K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will the President sign a reconciliation bill by September 1?
$1K17 tradersResolved
99%
Weekly Biden Death Markets [October 19 - November 15]
$1K4 tradersResolved
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Weekly Biden Death Markets [August 23 - September 19, 2026]
$1K12 tradersopen
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Weekly Biden Death Markets [April 5 - May 2 2026]
$1K8 tradersclosed
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2025 February hottest on record?
$1K13 tradersResolved
1%
Weekly Biden Death Markets
$1K4 tradersResolved
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Weekly Biden Death Markets [November 16 - December 13]
$1K13 tradersResolved
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Weekly Biden Death Markets
$1K3 tradersResolved
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By when will I fail No Nut November? (November 4)
$1K7 tradersResolved
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