Manifold Creator

Pedro

@Pedro

Markets by Pedro

Will OpenAI release GPT 4.5 or GPT 5 before May 2024?

$88K32 tradersResolved
1%

Will the price of Bitcoin hit $100,000 before 2025?

$45K65 tradersResolved
100%

Will the price of Bitcoin reach $95,000 before 2025?

$31K37 tradersResolved
99%

Who will win the 2024 MIT Integration Bee?

$27K45 tradersResolved

Will this market close above 60 percent?

$25K83 tradersResolved
70%

Will o3 (OpenAI model) be released before March 2025?

$23K57 tradersResolved
2%

Will the price of Bitcoin hit $80,000 before 2025?

$22K40 tradersResolved
99%

Will Manchester United win the 2023-2024 FA Cup Final?

$21K39 tradersResolved
99%

Will Germany win UEFA Euro 2024?

$20K53 tradersResolved
1%

Will the price of Bitcoin hit $95,000 before 2025?

$19K28 tradersResolved
99%

Will Manchester City win the 2024-2025 Champions League?

$19K32 tradersResolved
1%

Will this market close above 50 percent?

$18K81 tradersResolved
0%

Will "The Marvels" exceed $500M at the box office?

$16K31 tradersResolved
0%

Will Manchester City win the 2023-2024 FA Cup Final?

$15K46 tradersResolved
1%

Will Real Madrid win the 2023-2024 Champions League?

$15K25 tradersResolved
99%

Will OpenAI release a new GPT model on Pi Day 2024?

$14K41 tradersResolved
1%

Will the price of Bitcoin hit $75,000 in March 2024?

$13K23 tradersResolved
1%

Will France win UEFA Euro 2024?

$13K16 tradersResolved
1%

Will we hire a Community Manager by Pi Day?

$13K37 tradersResolved
20%

Will the price of Bitcoin hit $75,000 in April 2024?

$13K21 tradersResolved
1%

Will Brazil win Copa America 2024?

$10K16 tradersResolved
1%

Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2023-2024 Europa League?

$9K30 tradersResolved
1%

Who will win the 2025 Chopin Competition?

$8K24 tradersResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 5000 at the end of April 2024?

$8K30 tradersResolved
99%

Big Beautiful Bill passes Senate?

$7K60 tradersResolved
99%

Will Argentina win Copa America 2024?

$7K22 tradersResolved
98%

Will the S&P 500 be above 5100 at the end of April 2024?

$7K19 tradersResolved
1%

Will the price of Bitcoin hit $90,000 before 2025?

$7K20 tradersResolved
99%

Will the price of Bitcoin hit $72,500 in May 2024?

$7K21 tradersResolved
4%

Will the S&P 500 Index close higher on May 8, 2024 compared to the previous trading day?

$7K25 tradersResolved
2%

Will the S&P 500 be above 5300 at the end of April 2024?

$6K18 tradersResolved
1%

Will this market close above 69 percent?

$6K66 tradersResolved
29%

Will Manchester City win the 2023-2024 Champions League?

$5K23 tradersResolved
1%

Will this market close outside 47 to 53 percent, inclusive?

$5K36 tradersResolved
48%

Will OpenAI release a new GPT model before July 2024?

$5K32 tradersResolved
90%

Will this market close between 47 percent and 53 percent, inclusive?

$5K60 tradersResolved
0%

Will the S&P 500 be above 5200 at the end of April 2024?

$5K24 tradersResolved
2%

Will the S&P 500 Index close higher on Mar 15, 2024 compared to the previous trading day?

$5K13 tradersResolved
3%

Will Real Madrid win the 2024-2025 Champions League?

$5K24 tradersResolved
1%

Will the S&P 500 Index close higher on Mar 22, 2024 compared to the previous trading day?

$4K5 tradersResolved
0%